Prediction: Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati
| Columbus Crew | Draw | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 22% | 25% |
| Market | 53% | 23% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Cincinnati (rating 1498 vs 1542).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Columbus Crew | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.1 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew 2–2–2 FC Cincinnati
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 USA MLS | FC Cincinnati | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Columbus Crew |
| 03/11/25 USA MLS | Columbus Crew | 4-0 HT 2-0 | FC Cincinnati |
| 27/10/25 USA MLS | FC Cincinnati | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Columbus Crew |
| 13/07/25 USA MLS | FC Cincinnati | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Columbus Crew |
| 18/05/25 USA MLS | Columbus Crew | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Cincinnati |
| 15/09/24 USA MLS | FC Cincinnati | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Columbus Crew |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 15 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 29 | 15 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 44 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 7 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Columbus Crew | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| New York City FC | 1-0 W | 4-4 D |
| New York Red Bulls | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Cincinnati (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Columbus Crew
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Burnley Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | New York City FC USA US Open Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | New York City FC USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | One Knoxville SC USA US Open Cup |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
FC Cincinnati
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Burnley World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
2-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Inter Miami CF USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/04 | New York City FC USA MLS |
1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew win (53%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew 53%, draw 22%, FC Cincinnati 24%.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
The model expects 3.77 goals (Columbus Crew 2.26 · FC Cincinnati 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.