Football · USA MLS · 02/08, 01:30

Prediction: Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

Inter Miami CF2.39

Columbus Crew1.47

1X2

57% 21% 22%

Inter Miami CF Draw Columbus Crew

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Miami CF 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Columbus Crew 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWWDLW

Head-to-head

Inter Miami CF 4–1–1 Columbus Crew (6 last)

Inter Miami CF5-1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew0-1Inter Miami CF
Columbus Crew2-3Inter Miami CF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Miami CF (rating 1591 vs 1509).
H2H favours Inter Miami CF: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Miami CF	Columbus Crew
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.8	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.1	2.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.91

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:38

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.76▲	Pinn 1.76
X	3.88 → 3.93▲	Pinn 3.93
2	4.29 → 4.35▲	Pinn 4.35

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:40	1.74	3.88	4.29
03:37	1.76▲	3.93▲	4.35▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF 4–1–1 Columbus Crew

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/25 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	5-1 HT 3-0	Columbus Crew
19/04/25 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	0-1 HT 0-1	Inter Miami CF
03/10/24 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	2-3 HT 0-2	Inter Miami CF
14/08/24 Leagues Cup	Columbus Crew	3-2 HT 0-1	Inter Miami CF
20/06/24 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	2-1 HT 2-1	Columbus Crew
05/07/23 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	2-2 HT 0-1	Columbus Crew

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	16	12	3	1	33	11	39
2	Inter Miami CF	16	10	4	2	42	30	34
3	Chicago Fire	15	8	2	5	29	19	26
4	New England Revolution	15	8	2	5	22	18	26
5	FC Cincinnati	16	6	5	5	40	40	23
6	New York City FC	16	6	4	6	27	22	22
7	Charlotte FC	16	6	4	6	26	25	22
8	New York Red Bulls	16	6	4	6	26	35	22
9	DC United	16	4	7	5	22	26	19
10	Orlando City SC	16	5	2	9	27	44	17
11	Columbus Crew	16	4	4	8	22	25	16
12	Toronto FC	16	3	7	6	22	29	16
13	CF Montreal	16	4	3	9	22	32	15
14	Atlanta United	16	3	3	10	16	26	12
15	Philadelphia Union	16	2	4	10	21	31	10

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Miami CF	Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union	6-4 W	1-1 D
FC Cincinnati	5-3 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Miami CF (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Inter Miami CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/07	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-1	3-2	8	2	W
25/05	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	4-4	6-4	4	9	W
18/05	Portland Timbers USA MLS	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
14/05	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-1	5-3	8	5	W
09/05	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	4-2	4	3	W
03/05	Orlando City SC USA MLS	3-1	3-4	10	8	L
26/04	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
23/04	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
18/04	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	2-0	3-2	2	10	W

Columbus Crew

WLLLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
23/07	New York City FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
12/07	Burnley Club Friendly List	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
21/05	New York City FC USA US Open Cup	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
17/05	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
14/05	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
10/05	New York City FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	8	1	L
03/05	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	2-3	4	4	L
30/04	One Knoxville SC USA US Open Cup	2-1	4-1	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Miami CF win (57%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF 57%, draw 21%, Columbus Crew 22%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

The model expects 3.86 goals (Inter Miami CF 2.39 · Columbus Crew 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.