Football · USA MLS · 02/08, 01:30

Prediction: CF Montreal vs New England Revolution

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

CF Montreal1.51

New England Revolution1.24

1X2

42% 28% 30%

CF Montreal Draw New England Revolution

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CF Montreal 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWWDLL

New England Revolution 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWLDW

Head-to-head

CF Montreal 2–1–3 New England Revolution (6 last)

New England Revolution3-0CF Montreal
New England Revolution1-3CF Montreal
CF Montreal0-3New England Revolution

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours New England Revolution: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CF Montreal	New England Revolution
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 7	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:37

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.21 → 2.23▲	Pinn 2.23
X	3.50 → 3.54▲	Pinn 3.54
2	3.11 → 3.14▲	Pinn 3.14

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:40	2.21	3.50	3.11
03:37	2.23▲	3.54▲	3.14▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Montreal 2–1–3 New England Revolution

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 USA MLS	New England Revolution	3-0 HT 1-0	CF Montreal
26/07/25 USA MLS	New England Revolution	1-3 HT 1-2	CF Montreal
01/06/25 USA MLS	CF Montreal	0-3 HT 0-0	New England Revolution
19/09/24 USA MLS	New England Revolution	2-2 HT 2-0	CF Montreal
25/08/24 USA MLS	CF Montreal	0-5 HT 0-2	New England Revolution
27/08/23 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-0 HT 0-0	New England Revolution

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	16	12	3	1	33	11	39
2	Inter Miami CF	16	10	4	2	42	30	34
3	Chicago Fire	15	8	2	5	29	19	26
4	New England Revolution	15	8	2	5	22	18	26
5	FC Cincinnati	16	6	5	5	40	40	23
6	New York City FC	16	6	4	6	27	22	22
7	Charlotte FC	16	6	4	6	26	25	22
8	New York Red Bulls	16	6	4	6	26	35	22
9	DC United	16	4	7	5	22	26	19
10	Orlando City SC	16	5	2	9	27	44	17
11	Columbus Crew	16	4	4	8	22	25	16
12	Toronto FC	16	3	7	6	22	29	16
13	CF Montreal	16	4	3	9	22	32	15
14	Atlanta United	16	3	3	10	16	26	12
15	Philadelphia Union	16	2	4	10	21	31	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CF Montreal	New England Revolution
Inter Miami CF	0-1 L	1-1 D
Nashville SC	0-1 L	0-3 L
Toronto FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Orlando City SC	2-0 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CF Montreal (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CF Montreal

WWDLDWWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
23/07	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
17/07	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
13/07	Vancouver FC Canada Championships	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
09/07	Vancouver FC Canada Championships	0-0	2-1	2	3	W
24/05	DC United USA MLS	1-2	4-4	4	7	D
16/05	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	0-2	16	7	L
14/05	Portland Timbers USA MLS	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
09/05	Orlando City SC USA MLS	0-0	2-0	11	3	W
07/05	Calgary Blizzard SC Canada Championships	2-0	5-0	11	2	W

New England Revolution

WDLWWLWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-0	4-1	4	4	W
23/07	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
24/05	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
17/05	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
14/05	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
10/05	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
03/05	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
30/04	Orlando City SC USA US Open Cup	2-2	3-4	3	4	L
26/04	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
23/04	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-1	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CF Montreal vs New England Revolution?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CF Montreal win (42%). Probabilities: CF Montreal 42%, draw 28%, New England Revolution 30%.

How many goals are expected in CF Montreal vs New England Revolution?

The model expects 2.75 goals (CF Montreal 1.51 · New England Revolution 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CF Montreal vs New England Revolution?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.