Football · USA MLS · 20/08, 03:30

Prediction: Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas

Team pages: Real Salt Lake · FC Dallas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Real Salt Lake1.8

FC Dallas1.21

1X2

51% 25% 25%

Real Salt Lake Draw FC Dallas

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 65% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Real Salt Lake 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLLDDWWD

FC Dallas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLDWWL

Head-to-head

Real Salt Lake 1–2–3 FC Dallas (6 last)

FC Dallas3-1Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake0-2FC Dallas
FC Dallas1-1Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake0-1FC Dallas
Real Salt Lake3-2FC Dallas
FC Dallas3-3Real Salt Lake

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Salt Lake 1519 · FC Dallas 1559

	Real Salt Lake	Draw	FC Dallas
Our model	50%	25%	24%
Market	51%	24%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Dallas (rating 1519 vs 1559).
H2H favours FC Dallas: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Salt Lake	FC Dallas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.7	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:36 +6’	1.83	3.80	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Salt Lake 1–2–3 FC Dallas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 USA MLS	FC Dallas	3-1 HT 2-0	Real Salt Lake
30/01/26 America Friendlies	Real Salt Lake	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Dallas
11/05/25 USA MLS	FC Dallas	1-1 HT 0-1	Real Salt Lake
23/03/25 USA MLS	Real Salt Lake	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Dallas
19/09/24 USA MLS	Real Salt Lake	3-2 HT 2-1	FC Dallas
26/05/24 USA MLS	FC Dallas	3-3 HT 1-0	Real Salt Lake

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Houston Dynamo	19	11	2	6	28	24	35
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	17	10	4	3	38	17	34
3	Los Angeles FC	20	10	4	6	35	20	34
4	San Jose Earthquakes	19	10	3	6	38	27	33
5	St. Louis City SC	19	8	5	6	27	25	29
6	Real Salt Lake	18	8	4	6	30	26	28
7	FC Dallas	18	7	6	5	32	25	27
8	Colorado Rapids	19	8	1	10	29	25	25
9	Minnesota United	19	6	7	6	21	26	25
10	Portland Timbers	18	7	3	8	33	33	24
11	Seattle Sounders	17	7	3	7	20	22	24
12	San Diego FC	19	6	6	7	33	29	24
13	LA Galaxy	20	5	7	8	24	30	22
14	Austin FC	18	4	5	9	22	36	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	19	4	2	13	18	48	14

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Salt Lake	FC Dallas
Portland Timbers	1-2 L	2-2 D
Colorado Rapids	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Dallas (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Real Salt Lake

WDWLLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Minnesota United USA MLS	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
12/08	Juarez FC Leagues Cup	1-0	3-0	3	6	W
09/08	Atlante Leagues Cup	1-0	4-0	1	4	W
05/08	Tigres UANL Leagues Cup	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
02/08	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
26/07	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
23/07	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-2	1-3	12	0	L
16/07	Burnley World Club Friendlies	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
24/05	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
17/05	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	1-1	2-1	2	5	W

FC Dallas

WLWWDLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Toluca Leagues Cup	1-2	1-3	4	5	L
09/08	Chivas Guadalajara Leagues Cup	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
06/08	Queretaro Leagues Cup	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
02/08	LA Galaxy USA MLS	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
26/07	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
23/07	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
24/05	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	2-1	2-1	3	6	W
17/05	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-1	3-2	4	6	W
14/05	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	1-2	2-3	6	7	L
10/05	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	2-0	3-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Salt Lake win (51%). Probabilities: Real Salt Lake 51%, draw 25%, FC Dallas 25%.

How many goals are expected in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Real Salt Lake 1.8 · FC Dallas 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.