Football · USA MLS · 30/08, 01:30

Prediction: Inter Miami CF vs CF Montreal

Team pages: Inter Miami CF · CF Montreal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Inter Miami CF2.73

CF Montreal1.26

1X2

67% 18% 14%

Inter Miami CF Draw CF Montreal

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Miami CF 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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CF Montreal 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Inter Miami CF 4–2 CF Montreal (6 last)

CF Montreal0-1Inter Miami CF
CF Montreal1-4Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF4-2CF Montreal
CF Montreal2-3Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF2-3CF Montreal
CF Montreal1-0Inter Miami CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Miami CF 1514 · CF Montreal 1491

	Inter Miami CF	Draw	CF Montreal
Our model	68%	18%	15%
Market	67%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Inter Miami CF: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Miami CF	CF Montreal
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 2.1	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.1	2.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.38

X5.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Pinn 1.47 ★
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.26
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +4’	1.38	5.00	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:57 +1’	1.47	5.30	5.40
10:50	1.47▲	5.26▼	5.36▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF 4–0–2 CF Montreal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 USA MLS	CF Montreal	0-1 HT 0-0	Inter Miami CF
06/07/25 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-4 HT 1-2	Inter Miami CF
29/05/25 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	4-2 HT 1-0	CF Montreal
12/05/24 USA MLS	CF Montreal	2-3 HT 2-2	Inter Miami CF
10/03/24 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	2-3 HT 0-1	CF Montreal
28/05/23 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-0 HT 0-0	Inter Miami CF

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	21	15	4	2	43	17	49
2	Inter Miami CF	21	11	6	4	49	40	39
3	Chicago Fire	20	11	3	6	37	26	36
4	New England Revolution	20	10	3	7	32	25	33
5	Charlotte FC	21	9	5	7	38	32	32
6	FC Cincinnati	21	8	7	6	49	47	31
7	New York City FC	20	7	5	8	34	29	26
8	New York Red Bulls	21	7	5	9	31	43	26
9	Orlando City SC	21	7	3	11	34	51	24
10	Toronto FC	21	5	9	7	31	37	24
11	DC United	21	5	9	7	28	36	24
12	Philadelphia Union	21	5	6	10	31	38	21
13	CF Montreal	21	5	6	10	29	39	21
14	Columbus Crew	21	5	5	11	30	36	20
15	Atlanta United	20	5	3	12	23	35	18

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Miami CF	CF Montreal
Toronto FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Nashville SC	1-4 L	0-1 L
Columbus Crew	2-2 D	2-1 W
Chicago Fire	3-2 W	0-2 L
Portland Timbers	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CF Montreal (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Miami CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
20/08	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	2-1	2-2	1	8	D
16/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
02/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
26/07	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/07	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-1	3-2	8	2	W
25/05	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	4-4	6-4	4	9	W
18/05	Portland Timbers USA MLS	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
14/05	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-1	5-3	8	5	W
09/05	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	4-2	4	3	W

CF Montreal

DLDDLLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
20/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
16/08	DC United USA MLS	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
02/08	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
26/07	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
23/07	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
17/07	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
24/05	DC United USA MLS	1-2	4-4	4	7	D
16/05	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	0-2	16	7	L
14/05	Portland Timbers USA MLS	2-1	2-2	6	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF vs CF Montreal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Miami CF win (67%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF 67%, draw 18%, CF Montreal 14%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF vs CF Montreal?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Inter Miami CF 2.73 · CF Montreal 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs CF Montreal?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.