Football · USA MLS · 30/08, 03:30

Prediction: Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake

Team pages: Colorado Rapids · Real Salt Lake

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Colorado Rapids1.53

Real Salt Lake1.05

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Colorado Rapids Draw Real Salt Lake

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Colorado Rapids 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Real Salt Lake 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Colorado Rapids 3–3 Real Salt Lake (6 last)

Real Salt Lake2-1Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake1-0Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids1-0Real Salt Lake
Colorado Rapids3-2Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake5-3Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake1-2Colorado Rapids

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids 1500 · Real Salt Lake 1506

	Colorado Rapids	Draw	Real Salt Lake
Our model	47%	28%	25%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colorado Rapids	Real Salt Lake
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.9	1.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.5	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.10 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +1’	1.91	3.70	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +1’	2.10	3.69	3.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids 3–0–3 Real Salt Lake

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 USA MLS	Real Salt Lake	2-1 HT 1-1	Colorado Rapids
05/10/25 USA MLS	Real Salt Lake	1-0 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids
18/05/25 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Salt Lake
21/07/24 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	3-2 HT 2-1	Real Salt Lake
19/05/24 USA MLS	Real Salt Lake	5-3 HT 2-2	Colorado Rapids
10/03/24 USA MLS	Real Salt Lake	1-2 HT 1-1	Colorado Rapids

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	20	12	4	4	45	18	40
2	Houston Dynamo	21	12	2	7	30	26	38
3	Los Angeles FC	22	10	5	7	36	22	35
4	San Jose Earthquakes	21	10	3	8	39	33	33
5	FC Dallas	21	9	6	6	38	34	33
6	St. Louis City SC	21	9	6	6	30	27	33
7	Colorado Rapids	21	9	1	11	30	28	28
8	Real Salt Lake	20	8	4	8	34	32	28
9	Portland Timbers	21	8	4	9	38	37	28
10	Minnesota United	21	7	7	7	27	29	28
11	San Diego FC	21	7	6	8	37	32	27
12	LA Galaxy	22	6	8	8	27	32	26
13	Seattle Sounders	20	7	4	9	22	27	25
14	Austin FC	21	5	6	10	26	40	21
15	Sporting Kansas City	20	4	3	13	19	49	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colorado Rapids	Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles FC	1-0 W	1-3 L
St. Louis City SC	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC Dallas	1-2 L	3-4 L
Minnesota United	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Colorado Rapids (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colorado Rapids

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
20/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
02/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
26/07	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
23/07	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
24/05	FC Dallas USA MLS	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
17/05	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
14/05	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
10/05	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-1	0-1	11	10	L

Real Salt Lake

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Orlando City SC USA MLS	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
20/08	FC Dallas USA MLS	1-3	3-4	6	6	L
16/08	Minnesota United USA MLS	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
02/08	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
26/07	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
23/07	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-2	1-3	12	0	L
24/05	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
17/05	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
14/05	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-0	3-0	4	1	W
10/05	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-2	1-3	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Rapids win (48%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids 48%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 26%.

How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Colorado Rapids 1.53 · Real Salt Lake 1.05), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.