Prediction: LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes
Team pages: LA Galaxy · San Jose Earthquakes
- San Jose Earthquakes1-1LA Galaxy
- San Jose Earthquakes1-1LA Galaxy
- LA Galaxy0-1San Jose Earthquakes
- San Jose Earthquakes1-2LA Galaxy
- San Jose Earthquakes0-3LA Galaxy
- LA Galaxy4-3San Jose Earthquakes
| LA Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LA Galaxy (rating 1484 vs 1426).
- H2H favours LA Galaxy: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LA Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LA Galaxy 3–2–1 San Jose Earthquakes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 USA MLS | San Jose Earthquakes | 1-1 HT 0-1 | LA Galaxy |
| 29/06/25 USA MLS | San Jose Earthquakes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | LA Galaxy |
| 29/05/25 USA MLS | LA Galaxy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 01/08/24 Leagues Cup | San Jose Earthquakes | 1-2 HT 0-1 | LA Galaxy |
| 30/06/24 USA MLS | San Jose Earthquakes | 0-3 HT 0-1 | LA Galaxy |
| 22/04/24 USA MLS | LA Galaxy | 4-3 HT 3-1 | San Jose Earthquakes |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 20 | 34 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | St. Louis City SC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 28 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 27 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 25 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 24 |
| 11 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 24 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 24 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | 22 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 48 | 14 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LA Galaxy | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| St. Louis City SC | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Seattle Sounders | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: LA Galaxy (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LA Galaxy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/07 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Club America America Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
San Jose Earthquakes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/07 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/07 | Tijuana Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
3-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Colorado Rapids USA US Open Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 14/05 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LA Galaxy win (38%). Probabilities: LA Galaxy 38%, draw 26%, San Jose Earthquakes 36%.
How many goals are expected in LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model expects 3.02 goals (LA Galaxy 1.54 · San Jose Earthquakes 1.49), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.