Football · USA MLS · 20/08, 04:30

Prediction: Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC

Team pages: Portland Timbers · San Diego FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Portland Timbers2.03

San Diego FC1.56

1X2

48% 23% 29%

Portland Timbers Draw San Diego FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Portland Timbers 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWDWWWLW

San Diego FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWDLWWW

Head-to-head

Portland Timbers 1–2–3 San Diego FC (6 last)

San Diego FC1-2Portland Timbers
San Diego FC4-0Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers2-2San Diego FC
San Diego FC2-1Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers0-4San Diego FC
San Diego FC0-0Portland Timbers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Portland Timbers 1535 · San Diego FC 1540

	Portland Timbers	Draw	San Diego FC
Our model	48%	23%	29%
Market	48%	23%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours San Diego FC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portland Timbers	San Diego FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.4	2.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X4.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:36 +7’	1.95	4.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Timbers 1–2–3 San Diego FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 USA MLS	San Diego FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Portland Timbers
10/11/25 USA MLS	San Diego FC	4-0 HT 2-0	Portland Timbers
02/11/25 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	2-2 HT 1-1	San Diego FC
27/10/25 USA MLS Play-Offs	San Diego FC	2-1 HT 2-1	Portland Timbers
19/10/25 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	0-4 HT 0-1	San Diego FC
24/08/25 USA MLS	San Diego FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Portland Timbers

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Houston Dynamo	19	11	2	6	28	24	35
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	17	10	4	3	38	17	34
3	Los Angeles FC	20	10	4	6	35	20	34
4	San Jose Earthquakes	19	10	3	6	38	27	33
5	St. Louis City SC	19	8	5	6	27	25	29
6	Real Salt Lake	18	8	4	6	30	26	28
7	FC Dallas	18	7	6	5	32	25	27
8	Colorado Rapids	19	8	1	10	29	25	25
9	Minnesota United	19	6	7	6	21	26	25
10	Portland Timbers	18	7	3	8	33	33	24
11	Seattle Sounders	17	7	3	7	20	22	24
12	San Diego FC	19	6	6	7	33	29	24
13	LA Galaxy	20	5	7	8	24	30	22
14	Austin FC	18	4	5	9	22	36	17
15	Sporting Kansas City	19	4	2	13	18	48	14

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portland Timbers	San Diego FC
Tijuana	3-1 W	1-0 W
Club America	1-3 L	1-3 L
Puebla	5-2 W	3-2 W
FC Dallas	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Portland Timbers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Portland Timbers

DLLWDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Tijuana Leagues Cup	1-1	3-1	5	4	W
10/08	Club America Leagues Cup	1-1	1-3	5	8	L
07/08	Puebla Leagues Cup	4-1	5-2	5	2	W
02/08	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
26/07	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-1	2-1	14	4	W
23/07	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
17/07	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	5-1	8	2	W
24/05	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-3	1-3	4	5	L
18/05	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
14/05	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-2	2-2	9	3	D

San Diego FC

WDLLWDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
13/08	Puebla Leagues Cup	1-1	3-2	6	0	W
10/08	Tijuana Leagues Cup	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
07/08	Club America Leagues Cup	0-3	1-3	3	2	L
02/08	Minnesota United USA MLS	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
26/07	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
23/07	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
24/05	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	0-2	2-4	2	6	L
17/05	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-1	3-3	7	4	D
14/05	Austin FC USA MLS	2-0	5-0	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Timbers win (48%). Probabilities: Portland Timbers 48%, draw 23%, San Diego FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Portland Timbers 2.03 · San Diego FC 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.