Prediction: FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Seattle Sounders
- FC Cincinnati1-0Seattle Sounders
- Seattle Sounders1-1FC Cincinnati
- Seattle Sounders4-1FC Cincinnati
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Seattle Sounders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Cincinnati (rating 1518 vs 1436).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Cincinnati | Seattle Sounders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.7 | 1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5 | 1.6 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Cincinnati 1–1–1 Seattle Sounders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/23 USA MLS | FC Cincinnati | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Seattle Sounders |
| 28/09/22 USA MLS | Seattle Sounders | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Cincinnati |
| 03/03/19 USA MLS | Seattle Sounders | 4-1 HT 3-1 | FC Cincinnati |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 20 | 34 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | St. Louis City SC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 29 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 28 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 27 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 25 | 25 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 25 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 24 |
| 11 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 24 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 24 |
| 13 | LA Galaxy | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | 22 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 48 | 14 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Cincinnati
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/08 | Atlas Leagues Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Unam Pumas Leagues Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/08 | Pachuca Leagues Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
3-2 | 4-3 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | Burnley World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
2-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
Seattle Sounders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Chivas Guadalajara Leagues Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Queretaro Leagues Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/08 | Toluca Leagues Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 23/07 | Austin FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Cincinnati win (52%). Probabilities: FC Cincinnati 52%, draw 22%, Seattle Sounders 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders?
The model expects 4.07 goals (FC Cincinnati 2.39 · Seattle Sounders 1.68), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.