Football · USA MLS · 30/08, 01:30

Prediction: Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution

Team pages: Columbus Crew · New England Revolution

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Columbus Crew1.73

New England Revolution1.26

1X2

47% 25% 27%

Columbus Crew Draw New England Revolution

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Columbus Crew 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWDLLL

New England Revolution 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWDLLW

Head-to-head

Columbus Crew 4–2 New England Revolution (6 last)

New England Revolution2-1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew1-2New England Revolution
New England Revolution0-1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew4-0New England Revolution
New England Revolution1-5Columbus Crew
New England Revolution1-2Columbus Crew

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Columbus Crew 1468 · New England Revolution 1511

	Columbus Crew	Draw	New England Revolution
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New England Revolution (rating 1468 vs 1511).
H2H favours Columbus Crew: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Columbus Crew	New England Revolution
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	3.2 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:59 +1’	1.95	3.70	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew 4–0–2 New England Revolution

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 USA MLS	New England Revolution	2-1 HT 0-1	Columbus Crew
24/08/25 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	1-2 HT 0-2	New England Revolution
02/03/25 USA MLS	New England Revolution	0-1 HT 0-0	Columbus Crew
13/10/24 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	4-0 HT 2-0	New England Revolution
30/06/24 USA MLS	New England Revolution	1-5 HT 1-3	Columbus Crew
05/10/23 USA MLS	New England Revolution	1-2 HT 0-1	Columbus Crew

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	21	15	4	2	43	17	49
2	Inter Miami CF	21	11	6	4	49	40	39
3	Chicago Fire	20	11	3	6	37	26	36
4	New England Revolution	20	10	3	7	32	25	33
5	Charlotte FC	21	9	5	7	38	32	32
6	FC Cincinnati	21	8	7	6	49	47	31
7	New York City FC	20	7	5	8	34	29	26
8	New York Red Bulls	21	7	5	9	31	43	26
9	Orlando City SC	21	7	3	11	34	51	24
10	Toronto FC	21	5	9	7	31	37	24
11	DC United	21	5	9	7	28	36	24
12	Philadelphia Union	21	5	6	10	31	38	21
13	CF Montreal	21	5	6	10	29	39	21
14	Columbus Crew	21	5	5	11	30	36	20
15	Atlanta United	20	5	3	12	23	35	18

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Columbus Crew	New England Revolution
Nashville SC	2-3 L	0-3 L
CF Montreal	1-2 L	2-2 D
Charlotte FC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Atlanta United	2-0 W	4-1 W
Philadelphia Union	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: New England Revolution (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Columbus Crew

LLDWLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-1	2-3	1	2	L
20/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
16/08	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-2	1-3	13	3	L
02/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	2-2	2	3	D
26/07	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
23/07	New York City FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
24/05	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
17/05	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
14/05	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
10/05	New York City FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	8	1	L

New England Revolution

WLWLDWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	DC United USA MLS	2-0	3-0	5	3	W
16/08	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-2	1-2	9	3	L
08/08	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
02/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	2-0	2-2	3	1	D
26/07	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-0	4-1	4	4	W
23/07	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
24/05	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
17/05	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
14/05	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
10/05	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	2-1	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew win (47%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew 47%, draw 25%, New England Revolution 27%.

How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Columbus Crew 1.73 · New England Revolution 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.