Football · USA MLS · 23/08, 04:30

Prediction: Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers

Team pages: Los Angeles FC · Portland Timbers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Los Angeles FC2.22
Portland Timbers1.28
1X2
57% 22% 20%
Los Angeles FC Draw Portland Timbers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Los Angeles FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWWWWDLL
Portland Timbers 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDLLWDWWLW
Head-to-head
Los Angeles FC 2–2–2 Portland Timbers (6 last)
  • Portland Timbers2-1Los Angeles FC
  • Portland Timbers2-2Los Angeles FC
  • Los Angeles FC0-1Portland Timbers
  • Portland Timbers3-3Los Angeles FC
  • Los Angeles FC1-0Portland Timbers
  • Los Angeles FC3-2Portland Timbers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Los Angeles FC 1504 · Portland Timbers 1535
Los Angeles FCDrawPortland Timbers
Our model58%22%21%
Market57%23%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Los Angeles FCPortland Timbers
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.32.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 6.53 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.13.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC 222 Portland Timbers

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
USA MLS
Portland Timbers2-1
HT 1-0
Los Angeles FC
28/01/26
America Friendlies
Portland Timbers2-2Los Angeles FC
26/07/25
USA MLS
Los Angeles FC0-1
HT 0-1
Portland Timbers
20/04/25
USA MLS
Portland Timbers3-3
HT 2-1
Los Angeles FC
29/01/25
World Club Friendlies
Los Angeles FC1-0Portland Timbers
28/04/24
USA MLS
Los Angeles FC3-2
HT 2-0
Portland Timbers

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Houston Dynamo 201226 292438
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 191144 401837
3 Los Angeles FC 211047 352134
4 San Jose Earthquakes 201037 382833
5 FC Dallas 20965 382933
6 St. Louis City SC 20866 282630
7 Colorado Rapids 209110 302528
8 Real Salt Lake 19847 333028
9 Portland Timbers 20839 373627
10 LA Galaxy 21678 253025
11 Minnesota United 20677 222825
12 Seattle Sounders 19739 212624
13 San Diego FC 20668 343224
14 Austin FC 205510 253920
15 Sporting Kansas City 204313 194915

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLos Angeles FCPortland Timbers
San Diego FC 0-1 L 3-1 W
Sporting Kansas City 4-0 W 6-0 W
Real Salt Lake 3-1 W 2-1 W
Seattle Sounders 1-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Portland Timbers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Los Angeles FC

LLLWWWWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/08 Colorado Rapids
USA MLS
0-1 0-1 46 L
16/08 San Diego FC
USA MLS
0-0 0-1 98 L
02/08 Vancouver Whitecaps
USA MLS
1-0 1-1 12 D
26/07 Sporting Kansas City
USA MLS
3-0 4-0 52 W
23/07 Real Salt Lake
USA MLS
2-0 3-1 70 W
18/07 LA Galaxy
USA MLS
2-0 3-0 33 W
25/05 Seattle Sounders
USA MLS
0-0 1-0 70 W
18/05 Nashville SC
USA MLS
1-2 2-3 115 L
14/05 St. Louis City SC
USA MLS
0-1 1-2 86 L
11/05 Houston Dynamo
USA MLS
1-2 1-4 107 L

Portland Timbers

WDLLWDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/08 San Diego FC
USA MLS
1-1 3-1 03 W
17/08 Chicago Fire
USA MLS
0-2 1-2 44 L
02/08 Seattle Sounders
USA MLS
1-1 2-1 44 W
26/07 Real Salt Lake
USA MLS
0-1 2-1 144 W
23/07 FC Dallas
USA MLS
0-1 2-2 55 D
17/07 Seattle Sounders
USA MLS
1-0 5-1 82 W
24/05 San Jose Earthquakes
USA MLS
1-3 1-3 45 L
18/05 Inter Miami CF
USA MLS
0-2 0-2 54 L
14/05 CF Montreal
USA MLS
1-2 2-2 93 D
10/05 Sporting Kansas City
USA MLS
4-0 6-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC win (57%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC 57%, draw 22%, Portland Timbers 20%.

How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Los Angeles FC 2.22 · Portland Timbers 1.28), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.