Prediction: New England Revolution vs New York City FC
Team pages: New England Revolution · New York City FC
- New England Revolution2-0New York City FC
- New York City FC2-1New England Revolution
- New England Revolution1-1New York City FC
- New England Revolution0-1New York City FC
- New York City FC2-0New England Revolution
- New York City FC0-0New England Revolution
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours New York City FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New England Revolution | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.4 | 1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New England Revolution 1–2–3 New York City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/25 USA MLS | New England Revolution | 2-0 HT 1-0 | New York City FC |
| 16/03/25 USA MLS | New York City FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | New England Revolution |
| 10/08/24 Leagues Cup | New England Revolution | 1-1 HT 1-1 | New York City FC |
| 26/05/24 USA MLS | New England Revolution | 0-1 HT 0-0 | New York City FC |
| 14/04/24 USA MLS | New York City FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution |
| 03/06/23 USA MLS | New York City FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 46 |
| 2 | Inter Miami CF | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 38 | 39 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 35 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 33 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 46 | 30 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 29 |
| 7 | New York City FC | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 26 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 42 | 25 |
| 9 | DC United | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 24 |
| 10 | Orlando City SC | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 50 | 21 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 36 | 21 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 20 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 20 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 20 |
| 15 | Atlanta United | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 35 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New England Revolution | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| DC United | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Toronto FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Charlotte FC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Nashville SC | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Philadelphia Union | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: New York City FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New England Revolution
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | DC United USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/07 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
New York City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Toronto FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
3-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 14/05 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | DC United USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New England Revolution win (41%). Probabilities: New England Revolution 41%, draw 27%, New York City FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
The model expects 2.81 goals (New England Revolution 1.5 · New York City FC 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.