Football · USA MLS · 06/09, 03:30

Prediction: LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution

Team pages: LA Galaxy · New England Revolution

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
LA Galaxy1.58
New England Revolution1.13
1X2
47% 26% 27%
LA Galaxy Draw New England Revolution
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
LA Galaxy 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLDDLWDL
New England Revolution 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWLDWDLLWD
Head-to-head
LA Galaxy 4–2 New England Revolution (6 last)
  • New England Revolution1-2LA Galaxy
  • LA Galaxy4-0New England Revolution
  • LA Galaxy2-1New England Revolution
  • LA Galaxy1-2New England Revolution
  • New England Revolution2-3LA Galaxy
  • New England Revolution4-3LA Galaxy
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LA Galaxy 1481 · New England Revolution 1487
LA GalaxyDrawNew England Revolution
Our model46%27%26%
Market48%25%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours LA Galaxy: 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LA GalaxyNew England Revolution
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.41.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 5.23 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.63 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · LA Galaxy 402 New England Revolution

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/08/22
USA MLS
New England Revolution1-2
HT 0-2
LA Galaxy
06/02/22
America Friendlies
LA Galaxy4-0
HT 1-0
New England Revolution
10/02/20
World Club Friendlies
LA Galaxy2-1
HT 2-1
New England Revolution
03/06/19
USA MLS
LA Galaxy1-2
HT 0-1
New England Revolution
15/07/18
USA MLS
New England Revolution2-3
HT 2-1
LA Galaxy
23/07/17
USA MLS
New England Revolution4-3
HT 2-1
LA Galaxy

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 211344 481843
2 Houston Dynamo 221237 302639
3 Los Angeles FC 231067 362236
4 San Jose Earthquakes 221048 393334
5 FC Dallas 21966 383433
6 St. Louis City SC 21966 302733
7 Colorado Rapids 2210111 312831
8 San Diego FC 22868 403330
9 Minnesota United 22787 303229
10 Real Salt Lake 21849 343328
11 Portland Timbers 228410 393928
12 Seattle Sounders 21759 242926
13 LA Galaxy 23689 283526
14 Austin FC 226610 284124
15 Sporting Kansas City 224315 205415

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLA GalaxyNew England Revolution
CF Montreal 2-2 D 2-2 D
Houston Dynamo 0-1 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: LA Galaxy (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LA Galaxy

WDLLDDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 San Diego FC
USA MLS
0-1 1-3 77 L
23/08 CF Montreal
USA MLS
1-1 2-2 53 D
20/08 San Jose Earthquakes
USA MLS
0-0 1-0 27 W
16/08 Houston Dynamo
USA MLS
0-1 0-1 36 L
02/08 FC Dallas
USA MLS
0-0 0-0 66 D
26/07 San Jose Earthquakes
USA MLS
1-0 1-1 66 D
23/07 St. Louis City SC
USA MLS
0-2 1-3 45 L
18/07 Los Angeles FC
USA MLS
0-2 0-3 93 L
24/05 Houston Dynamo
USA MLS
1-1 1-1 94 D
17/05 Seattle Sounders
USA MLS
1-0 2-0 15 W

New England Revolution

LWLDWDLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 New York City FC
USA MLS
1-1 1-1 62 D
20/08 DC United
USA MLS
2-0 3-0 53 W
16/08 Toronto FC
USA MLS
0-2 1-2 93 L
08/08 Houston Dynamo
USA MLS
0-1 0-2 93 L
02/08 CF Montreal
USA MLS
2-0 2-2 31 D
26/07 Atlanta United
USA MLS
2-0 4-1 44 W
23/07 Toronto FC
USA MLS
0-0 0-0 72 D
24/05 Charlotte FC
USA MLS
0-1 0-1 46 L
17/05 Minnesota United
USA MLS
1-1 2-1 83 W
14/05 Nashville SC
USA MLS
0-2 0-3 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LA Galaxy win (47%). Probabilities: LA Galaxy 47%, draw 26%, New England Revolution 27%.

How many goals are expected in LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

The model expects 2.71 goals (LA Galaxy 1.58 · New England Revolution 1.13), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in LA Galaxy vs New England Revolution?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.