Football · USA MLS · 06/09, 01:30

Prediction: Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids

Team pages: Columbus Crew · Colorado Rapids

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Columbus Crew1.44

Colorado Rapids1.16

1X2

43% 27% 30%

Columbus Crew Draw Colorado Rapids

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Columbus Crew 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWDLLL

Colorado Rapids 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Columbus Crew 3–1–2 Colorado Rapids (6 last)

Colorado Rapids1-4Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew3-2Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids1-1Columbus Crew
Colorado Rapids3-2Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew2-1Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids2-1Columbus Crew

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Columbus Crew 1474 · Colorado Rapids 1488

	Columbus Crew	Draw	Colorado Rapids
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	43%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Columbus Crew: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Columbus Crew	Colorado Rapids
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.2	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:25 +2’	2.15	3.50	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew 3–1–2 Colorado Rapids

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 America Friendlies	Colorado Rapids	1-4	Columbus Crew
01/06/23 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	3-2 HT 1-1	Colorado Rapids
14/08/22 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	1-1 HT 1-1	Columbus Crew
26/05/19 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	3-2 HT 2-1	Columbus Crew
23/09/18 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	2-1 HT 1-1	Colorado Rapids
04/06/17 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	2-1 HT 0-0	Columbus Crew

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	20	12	4	4	45	18	40
2	Houston Dynamo	21	12	2	7	30	26	38
3	Los Angeles FC	22	10	5	7	36	22	35
4	San Jose Earthquakes	21	10	3	8	39	33	33
5	FC Dallas	21	9	6	6	38	34	33
6	St. Louis City SC	21	9	6	6	30	27	33
7	Colorado Rapids	21	9	1	11	30	28	28
8	Real Salt Lake	20	8	4	8	34	32	28
9	Portland Timbers	21	8	4	9	38	37	28
10	Minnesota United	21	7	7	7	27	29	28
11	San Diego FC	21	7	6	8	37	32	27
12	LA Galaxy	22	6	8	8	27	32	26
13	Seattle Sounders	20	7	4	9	22	27	25
14	Austin FC	21	5	6	10	26	40	21
15	Sporting Kansas City	21	4	3	14	20	51	15

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Columbus Crew

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-1	2-3	1	2	L
20/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
16/08	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-2	1-3	13	3	L
02/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	2-2	2	3	D
26/07	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
23/07	New York City FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
24/05	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
17/05	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
14/05	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	1-2	2-3	2	5	L
10/05	New York City FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	8	1	L

Colorado Rapids

LWLLWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
20/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
02/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
26/07	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
23/07	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
24/05	FC Dallas USA MLS	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
17/05	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
14/05	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-0	1-0	5	9	W
10/05	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-1	0-1	11	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew win (43%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew 43%, draw 27%, Colorado Rapids 30%.

How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Columbus Crew 1.44 · Colorado Rapids 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.