Prediction: LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders
Team pages: LA Galaxy · Seattle Sounders
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
LA Galaxy1.6
Seattle Sounders1.19
1X2
LA Galaxy
Draw
Seattle Sounders
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
LA Galaxy
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Seattle Sounders
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LA Galaxy
2–1–3
Seattle Sounders
(6 last)
- Seattle Sounders0-2LA Galaxy
- Seattle Sounders2-2LA Galaxy
- LA Galaxy0-2Seattle Sounders
- LA Galaxy0-4Seattle Sounders
- LA Galaxy1-0Seattle Sounders
- Seattle Sounders3-1LA Galaxy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LA Galaxy 1492 · Seattle Sounders 1397
| LA Galaxy | Draw | Seattle Sounders | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LA Galaxy (rating 1492 vs 1397).
- H2H favours Seattle Sounders: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LA Galaxy | Seattle Sounders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.6 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.6 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LA Galaxy 2–1–3 Seattle Sounders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 USA MLS | Seattle Sounders | 0-2 HT 0-1 | LA Galaxy |
| 14/09/25 USA MLS | Seattle Sounders | 2-2 HT 2-1 | LA Galaxy |
| 28/08/25 Leagues Cup | LA Galaxy | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Seattle Sounders |
| 11/08/25 USA MLS | LA Galaxy | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Seattle Sounders |
| 01/12/24 USA MLS Play-Offs | LA Galaxy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Seattle Sounders |
| 09/08/24 Leagues Cup | Seattle Sounders | 3-1 HT 3-0 | LA Galaxy |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 24 | 37 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 40 | 37 |
| 5 | St. Louis City SC | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 37 |
| 6 | San Jose Earthquakes | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 23 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 31 |
| 9 | San Diego FC | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 30 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 29 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 37 | 29 |
| 12 | LA Galaxy | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 27 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 42 | 25 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 58 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LA Galaxy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | New England Revolution USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/07 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
Seattle Sounders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Austin FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 23/07 | Austin FC USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LA Galaxy win (46%). Probabilities: LA Galaxy 46%, draw 26%, Seattle Sounders 28%.
How many goals are expected in LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
The model expects 2.78 goals (LA Galaxy 1.6 · Seattle Sounders 1.19), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in LA Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.