Prediction: Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC
Team pages: Orlando City SC · San Diego FC
| Orlando City SC | Draw | San Diego FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orlando City SC | San Diego FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 38 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 33 | 33 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 34 | 33 |
| 6 | St. Louis City SC | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 28 |
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 32 | 28 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 28 |
| 10 | Minnesota United | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
| 11 | San Diego FC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 27 |
| 12 | LA Galaxy | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 26 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | 21 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orlando City SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/08 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | New York Red Bulls USA MLS |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 23/07 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-2 | 2-6 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
2-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | CF Montreal USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
San Diego FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Minnesota United USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Cincinnati USA MLS |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Austin FC USA MLS |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando City SC win (49%). Probabilities: Orlando City SC 49%, draw 24%, San Diego FC 28%.
How many goals are expected in Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Orlando City SC 2.03 · San Diego FC 1.5), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs San Diego FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.