Prediction: Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls
Team pages: Los Angeles FC · New York Red Bulls
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Los Angeles FC1.83
New York Red Bulls1.05
1X2
Los Angeles FC
Draw
New York Red Bulls
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Los Angeles FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
New York Red Bulls
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Los Angeles FC
3–1–1
New York Red Bulls
(5 last)
- Los Angeles FC2-2New York Red Bulls
- Los Angeles FC2-0New York Red Bulls
- Los Angeles FC6-1New York Red Bulls
- Los Angeles FC4-2New York Red Bulls
- New York Red Bulls2-1Los Angeles FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Los Angeles FC (rating 1523 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Los Angeles FC: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Angeles FC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.7 | 3.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC 3–1–1 New York Red Bulls
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/24 USA MLS | Los Angeles FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | New York Red Bulls |
| 26/06/22 USA MLS | Los Angeles FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | New York Red Bulls |
| 19/02/22 America Friendlies | Los Angeles FC | 6-1 HT 3-1 | New York Red Bulls |
| 12/08/19 USA MLS | Los Angeles FC | 4-2 HT 2-2 | New York Red Bulls |
| 06/08/18 USA MLS | New York Red Bulls | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Los Angeles FC |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 18 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 24 | 37 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 40 | 37 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 35 |
| 6 | St. Louis City SC | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 34 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 23 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
| 8 | San Diego FC | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 30 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 29 |
| 10 | Minnesota United | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | 29 |
| 11 | LA Galaxy | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 29 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 28 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 27 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 42 | 25 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 58 | 15 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Los Angeles FC | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Nashville SC | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Los Angeles FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | DC United USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 23/08 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 20/08 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/05 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
New York Red Bulls
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Atlanta United USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Orlando City SC USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Charlotte FC USA MLS |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/07 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | New York City FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 14/05 | Columbus Crew USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC win (54%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC 54%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 21%.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Los Angeles FC 1.83 · New York Red Bulls 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.