Football · USA MLS · 20/09, 03:30

Prediction: Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders

Team pages: Colorado Rapids · Seattle Sounders

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Colorado Rapids1.44

Seattle Sounders0.98

1X2

47% 27% 25%

Colorado Rapids Draw Seattle Sounders

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Colorado Rapids 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLWLDW

Seattle Sounders 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Colorado Rapids 0–3–3 Seattle Sounders (6 last)

Seattle Sounders2-0Colorado Rapids
Seattle Sounders3-3Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids1-1Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids0-1Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders1-1Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids1-2Seattle Sounders

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids 1509 · Seattle Sounders 1427

	Colorado Rapids	Draw	Seattle Sounders
Our model	46%	29%	24%
Market	48%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colorado Rapids (rating 1509 vs 1427).
H2H favours Seattle Sounders: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colorado Rapids	Seattle Sounders
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.04
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.98 ★
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:20 +1’	1.91	3.60	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +456’	2.04	3.98	3.23

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids 0–3–3 Seattle Sounders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/02/26 USA MLS	Seattle Sounders	2-0 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids
17/07/25 USA MLS	Seattle Sounders	3-3 HT 2-0	Colorado Rapids
27/04/25 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	1-1 HT 0-1	Seattle Sounders
06/10/24 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	0-1 HT 0-0	Seattle Sounders
16/03/24 USA MLS	Seattle Sounders	1-1 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids
21/09/23 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	1-2 HT 0-1	Seattle Sounders

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	23	14	4	5	52	21	46
2	Houston Dynamo	25	13	4	8	32	28	43
3	FC Dallas	25	12	7	6	49	42	43
4	San Jose Earthquakes	25	12	5	8	44	36	41
5	St. Louis City SC	25	11	8	6	42	35	41
6	Los Angeles FC	26	11	7	8	41	27	40
7	Colorado Rapids	25	11	2	12	33	32	35
8	Portland Timbers	25	9	5	11	47	47	32
9	San Diego FC	24	8	6	10	42	37	30
10	LA Galaxy	26	7	9	10	31	40	30
11	Real Salt Lake	24	8	5	11	37	39	29
12	Minnesota United	25	7	8	10	37	43	29
13	Seattle Sounders	23	7	7	9	25	30	28
14	Austin FC	24	6	8	10	30	43	26
15	Sporting Kansas City	24	5	3	16	26	59	18

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colorado Rapids

WLWWWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/09	Austin FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
30/08	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
23/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
20/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
02/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
26/07	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
23/07	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	5	7	W

Seattle Sounders

LLLLLLDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
06/09	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
29/08	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	1	D
23/08	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
20/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	7	1	L
17/08	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	0-0	0-2	1	3	L
02/08	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
26/07	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
23/07	Austin FC USA MLS	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
17/07	Portland Timbers USA MLS	0-1	1-5	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Rapids win (47%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids 47%, draw 27%, Seattle Sounders 25%.

How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Colorado Rapids 1.44 · Seattle Sounders 0.98), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.