Football · USA MLS · 13/09, 01:30

Prediction: Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC

Team pages: Inter Miami CF · Nashville SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

Inter Miami CF2.15

Nashville SC1.55

1X2

50% 23% 27%

Inter Miami CF Draw Nashville SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Miami CF 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Nashville SC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Inter Miami CF 2–2–2 Nashville SC (6 last)

Nashville SC4-1Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF1-1Nashville SC
Nashville SC0-0Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF4-0Nashville SC
Nashville SC2-1Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF3-1Nashville SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Miami CF 1524 · Nashville SC 1540

	Inter Miami CF	Draw	Nashville SC
Our model	51%	22%	27%
Market	50%	23%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Miami CF	Nashville SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.9	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 1	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2.9 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:31 +3’	1.85	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF 2–2–2 Nashville SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 USA MLS	Nashville SC	4-1 HT 1-1	Inter Miami CF
19/03/26 CONCACAF Champions Cup	Inter Miami CF	1-1 HT 1-0	Nashville SC
12/03/26 CONCACAF Champions Cup	Nashville SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Inter Miami CF
09/11/25 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	4-0 HT 2-0	Nashville SC
02/11/25 USA MLS	Nashville SC	2-1 HT 2-0	Inter Miami CF
25/10/25 USA MLS Play-Offs	Inter Miami CF	3-1 HT 1-0	Nashville SC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	23	16	5	2	47	17	53
2	Inter Miami CF	23	12	7	4	58	43	43
3	Chicago Fire	22	11	5	6	43	32	38
4	New England Revolution	23	11	4	8	37	29	37
5	Charlotte FC	23	10	6	7	40	32	36
6	FC Cincinnati	22	8	7	7	49	51	31
7	New York City FC	23	7	8	8	36	31	29
8	Orlando City SC	23	8	4	11	38	54	28
9	Philadelphia Union	23	7	6	10	36	39	27
10	New York Red Bulls	23	7	6	10	32	46	27
11	Toronto FC	23	5	11	7	36	42	26
12	DC United	22	5	10	7	28	36	25
13	Columbus Crew	23	6	5	12	34	39	23
14	Atlanta United	23	6	4	13	27	40	22
15	CF Montreal	23	5	6	12	30	48	21

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Miami CF	Nashville SC
Atlanta United	2-2 D	1-0 W
CF Montreal	7-1 W	1-0 W
Columbus Crew	2-2 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nashville SC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Miami CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-1	2-2	6	9	D
30/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	2-1	7-1	6	3	W
23/08	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
20/08	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	2-1	2-2	1	8	D
16/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
02/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
26/07	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/07	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-1	3-2	8	2	W
25/05	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	4-4	6-4	4	9	W
18/05	Portland Timbers USA MLS	2-0	2-0	8	4	W

Nashville SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	New York City FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
30/08	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	1-0	4-0	6	5	W
23/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-0	3-2	8	2	W
20/08	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
16/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-1	4-1	10	4	W
02/08	DC United USA MLS	2-0	2-2	3	5	D
26/07	Orlando City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
23/07	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
18/07	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
24/05	New York City FC USA MLS	1-1	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Miami CF win (50%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF 50%, draw 23%, Nashville SC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Inter Miami CF 2.15 · Nashville SC 1.55), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs Nashville SC?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.