Football · USA MLS · 21/09, 01:00

Prediction: Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC

Team pages: Inter Miami CF · San Diego FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.81Total
Inter Miami CF2.55
San Diego FC1.26
1X2
65% 18% 17%
Inter Miami CF Draw San Diego FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Miami CF 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WWDLDLWDDD
San Diego FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWDWLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Miami CF 1506 · San Diego FC 1474
Inter Miami CFDrawSan Diego FC
Our model65%19%16%
Market65%17%17%
Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter Miami CFSan Diego FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.81.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.80.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.82.6 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.24.7 / 0.4

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 241446 532346
2 Houston Dynamo 251348 322843
3 FC Dallas 251276 494243
4 San Jose Earthquakes 251258 443641
5 St. Louis City SC 251186 423541
6 Los Angeles FC 261178 412740
7 Colorado Rapids 2511212 333235
8 Portland Timbers 259511 474732
9 San Diego FC 258611 424230
10 LA Galaxy 267910 314030
11 Real Salt Lake 248511 373929
12 Minnesota United 257810 374329
13 Austin FC 257810 324429
14 Seattle Sounders 23779 253028
15 Sporting Kansas City 245316 265918

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Miami CF

WWDLDLWDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Nashville SC
USA MLS
1-1 2-2 45 D
10/09 Chicago Fire
USA MLS
0-1 1-1 55 D
06/09 Atlanta United
USA MLS
2-1 2-2 69 D
30/08 CF Montreal
USA MLS
2-1 7-1 63 W
23/08 Toronto FC
USA MLS
0-0 1-2 33 L
20/08 Philadelphia Union
USA MLS
2-1 2-2 18 D
16/08 Nashville SC
USA MLS
1-1 1-4 44 L
02/08 Columbus Crew
USA MLS
2-1 2-2 53 D
26/07 CF Montreal
USA MLS
0-0 1-0 62 W
23/07 Chicago Fire
USA MLS
1-1 3-2 82 W

San Diego FC

LWDWLWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/09 Philadelphia Union
USA MLS
0-1 0-5 114 L
10/09 San Jose Earthquakes
USA MLS
1-3 2-3 110 L
06/09 Orlando City SC
USA MLS
0-1 0-1 45 L
30/08 LA Galaxy
USA MLS
1-0 3-1 77 W
23/08 Colorado Rapids
USA MLS
2-0 3-0 23 W
20/08 Portland Timbers
USA MLS
1-1 1-3 73 L
16/08 Los Angeles FC
USA MLS
0-0 1-0 78 W
02/08 Minnesota United
USA MLS
0-1 1-1 42 D
26/07 FC Dallas
USA MLS
0-0 1-0 92 W
23/07 Colorado Rapids
USA MLS
0-0 0-1 37 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Miami CF win (65%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF 65%, draw 18%, San Diego FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Inter Miami CF 2.55 · San Diego FC 1.26), with a 57% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs San Diego FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.