Football · USA MLS · 13/09, 03:30

Prediction: Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal

Team pages: Colorado Rapids · CF Montreal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Colorado Rapids1.73

CF Montreal0.9

1X2

57% 24% 19%

Colorado Rapids Draw CF Montreal

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Colorado Rapids 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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CF Montreal 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLDDWDLL

Head-to-head

Colorado Rapids 4–1–1 CF Montreal (6 last)

Colorado Rapids4-1CF Montreal
CF Montreal2-6Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids6-3CF Montreal
CF Montreal2-1Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids2-1CF Montreal
CF Montreal2-2Colorado Rapids

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids 1490 · CF Montreal 1470

	Colorado Rapids	Draw	CF Montreal
Our model	56%	26%	18%
Market	57%	23%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Colorado Rapids: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colorado Rapids	CF Montreal
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	1.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:24 +1’	1.61	4.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids 4–1–1 CF Montreal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/06/24 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	4-1 HT 2-0	CF Montreal
11/02/24 World Club Friendlies	CF Montreal	2-6	Colorado Rapids
04/08/19 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	6-3 HT 4-1	CF Montreal
08/07/18 USA MLS	CF Montreal	2-1 HT 0-0	Colorado Rapids
01/10/17 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	2-1 HT 1-0	CF Montreal
30/04/16 USA MLS	CF Montreal	2-2 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	22	13	4	5	49	21	43
2	Houston Dynamo	23	12	4	7	30	26	40
3	Los Angeles FC	24	10	7	7	38	24	37
4	FC Dallas	23	10	7	6	45	40	37
5	St. Louis City SC	23	10	7	6	36	31	37
6	San Jose Earthquakes	23	10	5	8	40	34	35
7	Colorado Rapids	23	10	1	12	31	31	31
8	Portland Timbers	23	9	4	10	44	43	31
9	San Diego FC	23	8	6	9	40	34	30
10	Real Salt Lake	22	8	5	9	36	35	29
11	Minnesota United	23	7	8	8	34	37	29
12	LA Galaxy	24	7	8	9	30	36	29
13	Seattle Sounders	22	7	6	9	24	29	27
14	Austin FC	23	6	7	10	29	42	25
15	Sporting Kansas City	23	4	3	16	23	58	15

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colorado Rapids

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
30/08	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
23/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
20/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
02/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
26/07	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
23/07	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
24/05	FC Dallas USA MLS	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
17/05	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	1-1	1-2	6	5	L

CF Montreal

DDLLDDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-0	0-2	1	8	L
30/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	1-7	6	3	L
23/08	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
20/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
16/08	DC United USA MLS	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
02/08	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
26/07	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
23/07	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
17/07	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
24/05	DC United USA MLS	1-2	4-4	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Rapids win (57%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids 57%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 19%.

How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Colorado Rapids 1.73 · CF Montreal 0.9), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.