Football · USA MLS · 20/09, 01:30

Prediction: CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew

Team pages: CF Montreal · Columbus Crew

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

CF Montreal1.84

Columbus Crew1.34

1X2

48% 25% 27%

CF Montreal Draw Columbus Crew

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CF Montreal 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Columbus Crew 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CF Montreal 1–2–3 Columbus Crew (6 last)

Columbus Crew1-2CF Montreal
CF Montreal1-1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew2-1CF Montreal
CF Montreal1-3Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew0-0CF Montreal
Columbus Crew2-1CF Montreal

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Columbus Crew: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CF Montreal	Columbus Crew
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.91

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.52 → 2.54▲	Pinn 2.54
X	3.66 → 3.71▲	Pinn 3.71
2	2.56 → 2.59▲	Pinn 2.59

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:43 +6’	2.52	3.66	2.56
04:43 +3’	2.54▲	3.71▲	2.59▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Montreal 1–2–3 Columbus Crew

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/08/26 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	1-2 HT 1-1	CF Montreal
15/05/25 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-1 HT 1-0	Columbus Crew
06/04/25 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	2-1 HT 2-0	CF Montreal
16/05/24 USA MLS	CF Montreal	1-3 HT 1-1	Columbus Crew
28/04/24 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	0-0 HT 0-0	CF Montreal
22/10/23 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	2-1 HT 1-1	CF Montreal

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	24	16	5	3	48	19	53
2	Inter Miami CF	24	12	8	4	59	44	44
3	New England Revolution	24	12	4	8	39	30	40
4	Chicago Fire	23	11	6	6	44	33	39
5	Charlotte FC	24	11	6	7	42	33	39
6	Orlando City SC	24	9	4	11	41	56	31
7	FC Cincinnati	23	8	7	8	49	56	31
8	Philadelphia Union	24	8	6	10	41	39	30
9	New York City FC	24	7	8	9	37	33	29
10	Toronto FC	24	6	11	7	38	43	29
11	DC United	23	6	10	7	30	37	28
12	New York Red Bulls	24	7	6	11	32	48	27
13	Columbus Crew	24	6	5	13	35	41	23
14	Atlanta United	24	6	4	14	29	43	22
15	CF Montreal	24	5	6	13	31	50	21

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CF Montreal	Columbus Crew
Colorado Rapids	0-1 L	3-0 W
Charlotte FC	1-2 L	1-3 L
Inter Miami CF	1-7 L	2-2 D
DC United	1-1 D	1-2 L
New England Revolution	2-2 D	1-3 L
Nashville SC	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CF Montreal (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CF Montreal

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
10/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-1	1-2	11	3	L
06/09	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	0-0	0-2	1	8	L
30/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	1-7	6	3	L
23/08	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
20/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
16/08	DC United USA MLS	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
02/08	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-2	2-2	6	1	D
26/07	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
23/07	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	2	2	L

Columbus Crew

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
10/09	DC United USA MLS	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
06/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
30/08	New England Revolution USA MLS	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
23/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-1	2-3	1	2	L
20/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
16/08	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-2	1-3	13	3	L
02/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	2-2	2	3	D
26/07	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
23/07	New York City FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CF Montreal win (48%). Probabilities: CF Montreal 48%, draw 25%, Columbus Crew 27%.

How many goals are expected in CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?

The model expects 3.18 goals (CF Montreal 1.84 · Columbus Crew 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.