Football · USA MLS · 28/09, 01:00

Prediction: Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF

Team pages: Columbus Crew · Inter Miami CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Columbus Crew1.66

Inter Miami CF1.97

1X2

32% 23% 44%

Columbus Crew Draw Inter Miami CF

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Columbus Crew 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLWLLW

Inter Miami CF 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLWDDD

Head-to-head

Columbus Crew 1–1–4 Inter Miami CF (6 last)

Inter Miami CF2-2Columbus Crew
Inter Miami CF5-1Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew0-1Inter Miami CF
Columbus Crew2-3Inter Miami CF
Columbus Crew3-2Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF2-1Columbus Crew

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Columbus Crew 1473 · Inter Miami CF 1504

	Columbus Crew	Draw	Inter Miami CF
Our model	32%	23%	44%
Market	32%	23%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Inter Miami CF: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Columbus Crew	Inter Miami CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.41 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:10 +7’	2.90	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +2’	2.53	3.98	2.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew 1–1–4 Inter Miami CF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	2-2 HT 2-1	Columbus Crew
01/06/25 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	5-1 HT 3-0	Columbus Crew
19/04/25 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	0-1 HT 0-1	Inter Miami CF
03/10/24 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	2-3 HT 0-2	Inter Miami CF
14/08/24 Leagues Cup	Columbus Crew	3-2 HT 0-1	Inter Miami CF
20/06/24 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	2-1 HT 2-1	Columbus Crew

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	46
3	Inter Miami CF	25	12	9	4	61	46	45
4	Charlotte FC	26	12	7	7	47	37	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	26
14	Atlanta United	26	7	5	14	30	43	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	21

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Columbus Crew	Inter Miami CF
CF Montreal	2-0 W	7-1 W
Nashville SC	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Miami CF (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Columbus Crew

WDLLLLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	2-0	1	3	W
13/09	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
10/09	DC United USA MLS	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
06/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
30/08	New England Revolution USA MLS	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
23/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-1	2-3	1	2	L
20/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
16/08	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-2	1-3	13	3	L
02/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	2-2	2	3	D
26/07	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	2-1	4	3	W

Inter Miami CF

WWDLDLWDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Nashville SC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
10/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
06/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-1	2-2	6	9	D
30/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	2-1	7-1	6	3	W
23/08	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
20/08	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	2-1	2-2	1	8	D
16/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
02/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
26/07	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/07	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-1	3-2	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Inter Miami CF win (44%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew 32%, draw 23%, Inter Miami CF 44%.

How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Columbus Crew 1.66 · Inter Miami CF 1.97), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami CF?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.