Football · USA MLS · 27/09, 04:30

Prediction: LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids

Team pages: LA Galaxy · Colorado Rapids

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

LA Galaxy1.47

Colorado Rapids1.2

1X2

43% 27% 30%

LA Galaxy Draw Colorado Rapids

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

LA Galaxy 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWDLWLDW

Colorado Rapids 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLDWD

Head-to-head

LA Galaxy 4–2 Colorado Rapids (6 last)

Colorado Rapids4-1LA Galaxy
LA Galaxy3-0Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids2-0LA Galaxy
Colorado Rapids1-4LA Galaxy
LA Galaxy5-0Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids1-3LA Galaxy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LA Galaxy 1493 · Colorado Rapids 1506

	LA Galaxy	Draw	Colorado Rapids
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LA Galaxy: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LA Galaxy	Colorado Rapids
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	2.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.5	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.60

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.87 ★
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:09 +4’	2.15	3.60	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:43 +510’	2.20	3.87	2.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LA Galaxy 4–0–2 Colorado Rapids

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	4-1 HT 1-0	LA Galaxy
24/08/25 USA MLS	LA Galaxy	3-0 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids
26/06/25 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	2-0 HT 2-0	LA Galaxy
02/11/24 USA MLS Play-Offs	Colorado Rapids	1-4 HT 1-2	LA Galaxy
27/10/24 USA MLS Play-Offs	LA Galaxy	5-0 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids
03/10/24 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	1-3 HT 1-0	LA Galaxy

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	44
3	St. Louis City SC	26	12	8	6	45	36	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	36
8	LA Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	32
10	San Diego FC	25	8	6	11	42	42	30
11	Austin FC	26	7	9	10	32	44	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	29
14	Minnesota United	26	7	8	11	39	46	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	18

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LA Galaxy	Colorado Rapids
Seattle Sounders	1-1 D	3-3 D
San Diego FC	1-3 L	0-3 L
CF Montreal	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LA Galaxy

DDLWDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	1-2	3-2	9	2	W
13/09	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
10/09	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
06/09	New England Revolution USA MLS	2-0	2-1	5	5	W
30/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-1	1-3	7	7	L
23/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
20/08	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
16/08	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
02/08	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
26/07	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-0	1-1	6	7	D

Colorado Rapids

LWWWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	3-3	4	1	D
13/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/09	Austin FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
30/08	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
23/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
20/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
02/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
26/07	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LA Galaxy win (43%). Probabilities: LA Galaxy 43%, draw 27%, Colorado Rapids 30%.

How many goals are expected in LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

The model expects 2.67 goals (LA Galaxy 1.47 · Colorado Rapids 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in LA Galaxy vs Colorado Rapids?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.