Football · USA MLS · 11/10, 01:30

Prediction: Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas

Team pages: Charlotte FC · FC Dallas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Charlotte FC1.81
FC Dallas1.52
1X2
43% 25% 31%
Charlotte FC Draw FC Dallas
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Charlotte FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWDWDWL
FC Dallas 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWWLDWWWDW
Head-to-head
Charlotte FC 0–1–0 FC Dallas (1 last)
  • FC Dallas2-2Charlotte FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlotte FC 1528 · FC Dallas 1558
Charlotte FCDrawFC Dallas
Our model44%25%32%
Market43%26%31%
Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Charlotte FCFC Dallas
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.31.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.51 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.42 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.34.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlotte FC 0–1–0 FC Dallas

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/07/23
Leagues Cup
FC Dallas2-2
HT 1-0
Charlotte FC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 261556 592650
2 St. Louis City SC 271386 483647
3 FC Dallas 271386 504247
4 San Jose Earthquakes 271368 493945
5 Houston Dynamo 271359 343244
6 Los Angeles FC 281189 433041
7 Seattle Sounders 271089 353538
8 Colorado Rapids 2711313 383836
9 LA Galaxy 289910 374436
10 Portland Timbers 279513 485132
11 Real Salt Lake 279513 404432
12 San Diego FC 278811 474732
13 Austin FC 2771010 354731
14 Minnesota United 277812 404929
15 Sporting Kansas City 276318 326521

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlotte FC

LWDWWDWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Chicago Fire
USA MLS
0-0 0-1 48 L
20/09 DC United
USA MLS
1-0 2-1 34 W
13/09 FC Cincinnati
USA MLS
2-1 3-3 33 D
10/09 CF Montreal
USA MLS
1-1 2-1 33 W
06/09 Houston Dynamo
USA MLS
0-0 0-0 88 D
30/08 Atlanta United
USA MLS
1-0 2-0 72 W
23/08 DC United
USA MLS
0-0 3-1 45 W
20/08 Toronto FC
USA MLS
2-1 3-3 52 D
16/08 Columbus Crew
USA MLS
2-1 3-1 13 W
02/08 Chicago Fire
USA MLS
1-1 1-2 63 L

FC Dallas

DWWLDWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Los Angeles FC
USA MLS
1-0 1-0 26 W
20/09 Austin FC
USA MLS
0-0 0-0 84 D
13/09 Portland Timbers
USA MLS
1-0 2-1 71 W
10/09 Minnesota United
USA MLS
0-0 2-1 64 W
06/09 Sporting Kansas City
USA MLS
3-2 4-3 31 W
31/08 St. Louis City SC
USA MLS
1-2 3-3 33 D
23/08 Vancouver Whitecaps
USA MLS
0-4 0-5 36 L
20/08 Real Salt Lake
USA MLS
3-1 4-3 36 W
17/08 Austin FC
USA MLS
1-0 2-1 47 W
02/08 LA Galaxy
USA MLS
0-0 0-0 66 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charlotte FC win (43%). Probabilities: Charlotte FC 43%, draw 25%, FC Dallas 31%.

How many goals are expected in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Charlotte FC 1.81 · FC Dallas 1.52), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.