Football · USA MLS · 18/10, 04:30

Prediction: Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids

Team pages: Portland Timbers · Colorado Rapids

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Portland Timbers1.65

Colorado Rapids1.4

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Portland Timbers Draw Colorado Rapids

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Portland Timbers 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWDLLLD

Colorado Rapids 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDWDLD

Head-to-head

Portland Timbers 4–2 Colorado Rapids (6 last)

Colorado Rapids2-0Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers2-1Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids0-3Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids2-1Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers4-0Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers4-1Colorado Rapids

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Portland Timbers 1454 · Colorado Rapids 1497

	Portland Timbers	Draw	Colorado Rapids
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colorado Rapids (rating 1454 vs 1497).
H2H favours Portland Timbers: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portland Timbers	Colorado Rapids
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.1	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.3	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.80

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:16 +5’	2.15	3.80	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Timbers 4–0–2 Colorado Rapids

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	2-0 HT 1-0	Portland Timbers
29/05/25 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	2-1 HT 0-1	Colorado Rapids
23/03/25 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	0-3 HT 0-1	Portland Timbers
15/09/24 USA MLS	Colorado Rapids	2-1 HT 1-1	Portland Timbers
02/08/24 Leagues Cup	Portland Timbers	4-0 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids
25/02/24 USA MLS	Portland Timbers	4-1 HT 4-0	Colorado Rapids

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	28	15	6	7	61	30	51
2	St. Louis City SC	27	13	8	6	48	36	47
3	FC Dallas	28	13	8	7	52	45	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	28	13	7	8	50	40	46
5	Houston Dynamo	28	13	6	9	36	34	45
6	Los Angeles FC	29	11	9	9	44	31	42
7	Seattle Sounders	28	11	8	9	38	35	41
8	Colorado Rapids	28	11	4	13	39	39	37
9	LA Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	36
10	Portland Timbers	28	9	6	13	51	54	33
11	Real Salt Lake	28	9	5	14	41	46	32
12	San Diego FC	28	8	8	12	48	51	32
13	Austin FC	28	7	10	11	36	51	31
14	Minnesota United	28	7	9	12	42	51	30
15	Sporting Kansas City	28	6	4	18	35	68	22

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portland Timbers	Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City	3-3 D	2-0 W
San Jose Earthquakes	1-3 L	1-1 D
Austin FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Los Angeles FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
San Diego FC	3-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Colorado Rapids (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portland Timbers

LWDLWDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	2-1	3-3	1	1	D
27/09	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	0-3	1-3	9	3	L
20/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
13/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
10/09	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
06/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	3-2	5-4	4	4	W
30/08	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
23/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
20/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	1-1	3-1	0	3	W
17/08	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-2	1-2	4	4	L

Colorado Rapids

WWLWLDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
27/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	2-0	2-3	6	4	L
20/09	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	1-0	3-3	4	1	D
13/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/09	Austin FC USA MLS	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
30/08	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
23/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
20/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-0	2-0	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Timbers win (43%). Probabilities: Portland Timbers 43%, draw 25%, Colorado Rapids 32%.

How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Portland Timbers 1.65 · Colorado Rapids 1.4), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.