Football · USA MLS · 11/10, 01:30

Prediction: Inter Miami CF vs DC United

Team pages: Inter Miami CF · DC United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Inter Miami CF2.57

DC United1.03

1X2

70% 18% 12%

Inter Miami CF Draw DC United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Inter Miami CF 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLWDDDDL

DC United 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLLDWDLD

Head-to-head

Inter Miami CF 4–2–0 DC United (6 last)

DC United1-2Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF3-2DC United
DC United1-1Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF1-0DC United
DC United1-3Inter Miami CF
DC United2-2Inter Miami CF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Miami CF 1499 · DC United 1448

	Inter Miami CF	Draw	DC United
Our model	70%	18%	12%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Miami CF (rating 1499 vs 1448).
H2H favours Inter Miami CF: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inter Miami CF	DC United
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.25

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.33
X	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 5.93 ★
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.4% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:20 +5’	1.33	5.25	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:21 +63’	1.33	5.93	7.17

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF 4–2–0 DC United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 USA MLS	DC United	1-2 HT 0-2	Inter Miami CF
21/09/25 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	3-2 HT 1-0	DC United
24/08/25 USA MLS	DC United	1-1 HT 1-0	Inter Miami CF
19/05/24 USA MLS	Inter Miami CF	1-0 HT 0-0	DC United
16/03/24 USA MLS	DC United	1-3 HT 1-1	Inter Miami CF
09/07/23 USA MLS	DC United	2-2 HT 0-0	Inter Miami CF

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45	36	46
3	Inter Miami CF	27	12	10	5	64	50	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	12	7	8	47	38	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34	51	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	34	42	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39	43	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	29
14	Atlanta United	27	7	6	14	32	45	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	24

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inter Miami CF	DC United
Columbus Crew	1-2 L	2-1 W
Nashville SC	2-2 D	2-2 D
Atlanta United	2-2 D	0-0 D
CF Montreal	7-1 W	1-1 D
Toronto FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: DC United (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Miami CF

DLDLWDDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	1-1	1-2	1	11	L
21/09	San Diego FC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
13/09	Nashville SC USA MLS	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
10/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
06/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	2-1	2-2	6	9	D
30/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	2-1	7-1	6	3	W
23/08	Toronto FC USA MLS	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
20/08	Philadelphia Union USA MLS	2-1	2-2	1	8	D
16/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
02/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-1	2-2	5	3	D

DC United

WDDLLDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	1-2	3-3	10	1	D
20/09	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
13/09	Atlanta United USA MLS	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
10/09	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
30/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
23/08	Charlotte FC USA MLS	0-0	1-3	9	5	L
20/08	New England Revolution USA MLS	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
16/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
02/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-2	2-2	8	5	D
26/07	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	2-1	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF vs DC United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inter Miami CF win (70%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF 70%, draw 18%, DC United 12%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF vs DC United?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Inter Miami CF 2.57 · DC United 1.03), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs DC United?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.