Football · USA MLS · 11/10, 04:30

Prediction: Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Team pages: Los Angeles FC · Vancouver Whitecaps

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Los Angeles FC1.38

Vancouver Whitecaps1.45

1X2

35% 26% 38%

Los Angeles FC Draw Vancouver Whitecaps

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Los Angeles FC 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Vancouver Whitecaps 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Los Angeles FC 1–3–2 Vancouver Whitecaps (6 last)

Vancouver Whitecaps1-1Los Angeles FC
Vancouver Whitecaps2-2Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC0-1Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps2-2Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC1-0Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps3-0Los Angeles FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Los Angeles FC 1469 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1492

	Los Angeles FC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
Our model	35%	27%	38%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vancouver Whitecaps: 2-3-1.
High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Los Angeles FC	Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 6.9	2.7 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.70

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:43 +1’	2.60	3.70	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC 1–3–2 Vancouver Whitecaps

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	1-1 HT 0-1	Los Angeles FC
23/11/25 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	2-2 HT 2-0	Los Angeles FC
30/06/25 USA MLS	Los Angeles FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Vancouver Whitecaps
12/05/25 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	2-2 HT 1-2	Los Angeles FC
09/11/24 USA MLS Play-Offs	Los Angeles FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Vancouver Whitecaps
04/11/24 USA MLS Play-Offs	Vancouver Whitecaps	3-0 HT 2-0	Los Angeles FC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	15	5	6	59	26	50
2	St. Louis City SC	27	13	8	6	48	36	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	10	8	9	35	35	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	36
9	LA Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	32
12	San Diego FC	27	8	8	11	47	47	32
13	Austin FC	27	7	10	10	35	47	31
14	Minnesota United	27	7	8	12	40	49	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	3	18	32	65	21

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Los Angeles FC	Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas	0-1 L	5-0 W
Sporting Kansas City	1-3 L	3-0 W
Real Salt Lake	2-2 D	3-0 W
DC United	0-0 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver Whitecaps (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Los Angeles FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FC Dallas USA MLS	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
20/09	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
13/09	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	0-2	1-3	13	4	L
10/09	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
06/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	2-1	2-2	8	3	D
30/08	DC United USA MLS	0-0	0-0	8	0	D
23/08	Portland Timbers USA MLS	0-1	1-1	12	5	D
20/08	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
16/08	San Diego FC USA MLS	0-0	0-1	9	8	L
02/08	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	1-0	1-1	1	2	D

Vancouver Whitecaps

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	DC United USA MLS	2-1	3-3	7	1	D
20/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	2-0	3-0	8	7	W
14/09	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
10/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
06/09	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-3	1-3	6	7	L
30/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
23/08	FC Dallas USA MLS	4-0	5-0	9	6	W
20/08	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
17/08	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
02/08	Los Angeles FC USA MLS	0-1	1-1	11	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver Whitecaps win (38%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC 35%, draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 38%.

How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Los Angeles FC 1.38 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1.45), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.