Football · USA MLS · 15/10, 01:30

Prediction: Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC

Team pages: Columbus Crew · Charlotte FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Columbus Crew1.71

Charlotte FC1.27

1X2

47% 26% 28%

Columbus Crew Draw Charlotte FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Columbus Crew 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWLLWW

Charlotte FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDWDWL

Head-to-head

Columbus Crew 2–1–3 Charlotte FC (6 last)

Charlotte FC3-1Columbus Crew
Charlotte FC3-2Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew4-2Charlotte FC
Columbus Crew1-1Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC2-0Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew4-2Charlotte FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Columbus Crew 1498 · Charlotte FC 1548

	Columbus Crew	Draw	Charlotte FC
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	47%	25%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlotte FC (rating 1498 vs 1548).
H2H favours Charlotte FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Columbus Crew	Charlotte FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	2.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.70

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:05 +5’	2.00	3.70	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew 2–1–3 Charlotte FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Columbus Crew
25/05/25 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	3-2 HT 2-1	Columbus Crew
04/05/25 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	4-2 HT 2-1	Charlotte FC
18/07/24 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	1-1 HT 1-0	Charlotte FC
24/03/24 USA MLS	Charlotte FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Columbus Crew
04/06/23 USA MLS	Columbus Crew	4-2 HT 3-0	Charlotte FC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45	36	46
3	Inter Miami CF	27	12	10	5	64	50	46
4	Chicago Fire	27	13	6	8	49	39	45
5	Charlotte FC	27	12	7	8	47	38	43
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34	51	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	34	42	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39	43	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	29
14	Atlanta United	27	7	6	14	32	45	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	24

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Columbus Crew	Charlotte FC
CF Montreal	2-0 W	2-1 W
DC United	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Columbus Crew

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-1	2-1	9	11	W
20/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	0-0	2-0	1	3	W
13/09	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
10/09	DC United USA MLS	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
06/09	Colorado Rapids USA MLS	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
30/08	New England Revolution USA MLS	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
23/08	Nashville SC USA MLS	0-1	2-3	1	2	L
20/08	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
16/08	Charlotte FC USA MLS	1-2	1-3	13	3	L
02/08	Inter Miami CF USA MLS	1-2	2-2	2	3	D

Charlotte FC

LWDWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
20/09	DC United USA MLS	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
13/09	FC Cincinnati USA MLS	2-1	3-3	3	3	D
10/09	CF Montreal USA MLS	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
06/09	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
30/08	Atlanta United USA MLS	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
23/08	DC United USA MLS	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
20/08	Toronto FC USA MLS	2-1	3-3	5	2	D
16/08	Columbus Crew USA MLS	2-1	3-1	1	3	W
02/08	Chicago Fire USA MLS	1-1	1-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew win (47%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew 47%, draw 26%, Charlotte FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Columbus Crew 1.71 · Charlotte FC 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Columbus Crew vs Charlotte FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.