Football · USA MLS · 15/10, 02:30

Prediction: St. Louis City SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Team pages: St. Louis City SC · Vancouver Whitecaps

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

St. Louis City SC1.71

Vancouver Whitecaps1.88

1X2

34% 25% 41%

St. Louis City SC Draw Vancouver Whitecaps

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

St. Louis City SC 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWDWWW

Vancouver Whitecaps 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLWDL

Head-to-head

St. Louis City SC 1–1–4 Vancouver Whitecaps (6 last)

Vancouver Whitecaps1-3St. Louis City SC
Vancouver Whitecaps3-2St. Louis City SC
St. Louis City SC0-0Vancouver Whitecaps
St. Louis City SC1-4Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps4-3St. Louis City SC
Vancouver Whitecaps3-0St. Louis City SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St. Louis City SC 1604 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1481

	St. Louis City SC	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
Our model	35%	24%	41%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St. Louis City SC (rating 1604 vs 1481).
H2H favours Vancouver Whitecaps: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St. Louis City SC	Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.7 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.70

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:34 +4’	2.75	3.70	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · St. Louis City SC 1–1–4 Vancouver Whitecaps

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	1-3 HT 1-3	St. Louis City SC
24/08/25 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	3-2 HT 1-1	St. Louis City SC
20/04/25 USA MLS	St. Louis City SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Vancouver Whitecaps
14/07/24 USA MLS	St. Louis City SC	1-4 HT 1-2	Vancouver Whitecaps
30/06/24 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	4-3 HT 1-2	St. Louis City SC
05/10/23 USA MLS	Vancouver Whitecaps	3-0 HT 0-0	St. Louis City SC

Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	27	15	5	7	60	29	50
2	St. Louis City SC	27	13	8	6	48	36	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	10	8	9	35	35	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	36
9	LA Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	32
12	San Diego FC	27	8	8	11	47	47	32
13	Austin FC	27	7	10	10	35	47	31
14	Minnesota United	27	7	8	12	40	49	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	3	18	32	65	21

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St. Louis City SC	Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas	3-3 D	5-0 W
Houston Dynamo	2-1 W	0-1 L
Sporting Kansas City	1-1 D	3-0 W
Real Salt Lake	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vancouver Whitecaps (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St. Louis City SC

DWDWDWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	New York Red Bulls USA MLS	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
20/09	Toronto FC USA MLS	1-0	3-1	8	4	W
13/09	Minnesota United USA MLS	3-1	4-2	6	3	W
10/09	Portland Timbers USA MLS	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
06/09	Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS	3-1	3-1	2	7	W
31/08	FC Dallas USA MLS	2-1	3-3	5	3	D
23/08	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	1-0	2-1	1	7	W
20/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
16/08	San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
02/08	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	0-0	1-1	9	6	D

Vancouver Whitecaps

WLWWLWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Chicago Fire USA MLS	0-1	1-3	8	3	L
27/09	DC United USA MLS	2-1	3-3	7	1	D
20/09	Real Salt Lake USA MLS	2-0	3-0	8	7	W
14/09	Austin FC USA MLS	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
10/09	LA Galaxy USA MLS	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
06/09	St. Louis City SC USA MLS	1-3	1-3	6	7	L
30/08	Sporting Kansas City USA MLS	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
23/08	FC Dallas USA MLS	4-0	5-0	9	6	W
20/08	Houston Dynamo USA MLS	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
17/08	Seattle Sounders USA MLS	0-0	2-0	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St. Louis City SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver Whitecaps win (41%). Probabilities: St. Louis City SC 34%, draw 25%, Vancouver Whitecaps 41%.

How many goals are expected in St. Louis City SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model expects 3.59 goals (St. Louis City SC 1.71 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1.88), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in St. Louis City SC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.