Prediction: Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Team pages: Austin FC · Vancouver Whitecaps
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Austin FC1.1
Vancouver Whitecaps2.03
1X2
Austin FC
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Austin FC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Vancouver Whitecaps
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Austin FC
1–2–3
Vancouver Whitecaps
(6 last)
- Vancouver Whitecaps1-2Austin FC
- Austin FC0-0Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps5-1Austin FC
- Austin FC0-1Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps0-0Austin FC
- Vancouver Whitecaps2-1Austin FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Austin FC 1495 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1491
| Austin FC | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| Market | 20% | 22% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Vancouver Whitecaps: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Austin FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Austin FC 1–2–3 Vancouver Whitecaps
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/26 USA MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Austin FC |
| 18/05/25 USA MLS | Austin FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 13/04/25 USA MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Austin FC |
| 01/09/24 USA MLS | Austin FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 05/05/24 USA MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Austin FC |
| 13/07/23 USA MLS | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Austin FC |
Standings · USA MLS · MLS 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City SC | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39 | 39 | 37 |
| 9 | LA Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51 | 54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 68 | 22 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Austin FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Nashville SC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | San Diego FC USA MLS |
0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/09 | Vancouver Whitecaps USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 10/09 | Colorado Rapids USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | San Jose Earthquakes USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Portland Timbers USA MLS |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Philadelphia Union USA MLS |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Seattle Sounders USA MLS |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/08 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
Vancouver Whitecaps
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Los Angeles FC USA MLS |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/10 | Chicago Fire USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | DC United USA MLS |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Real Salt Lake USA MLS |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Austin FC USA MLS |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 10/09 | LA Galaxy USA MLS |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | St. Louis City SC USA MLS |
1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Sporting Kansas City USA MLS |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | FC Dallas USA MLS |
4-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 20/08 | Houston Dynamo USA MLS |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vancouver Whitecaps win (58%). Probabilities: Austin FC 19%, draw 23%, Vancouver Whitecaps 58%.
How many goals are expected in Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Austin FC 1.1 · Vancouver Whitecaps 2.03), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Austin FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.