Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 15/10, 03:15
Prediction: CD Aguila vs Santa Tecla
Team pages: CD Aguila · Santa Tecla
Prediction summary
Estimated points
154.8Total
CD Aguila79.6
Santa Tecla75.3
1X2
CD Aguila
Santa Tecla
Recent form · 10 last
CD Aguila
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Santa Tecla
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Aguila
5–1
Santa Tecla
(6 last)
- Santa Tecla76-89CD Aguila
- Santa Tecla71-74CD Aguila
- CD Aguila106-74Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla68-92CD Aguila
- CD Aguila72-79Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla70-75CD Aguila
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1469 · Santa Tecla 1492
| CD Aguila | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
154.8 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · -3.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points154.8CD Aguila 79.6 · Santa Tecla 75.3
Match keys
- H2H favours CD Aguila: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CD Aguila | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.7 / 81 | 75.6 / 77.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.2 / 85.4 | 77 / 71.8 |
| Est. result | 80 | 75 |
Est. total154.8
Line O/U158.5
Diff.3.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 5–0–1 Santa Tecla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 76-89 | CD Aguila |
| 11/12/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 71-74 | CD Aguila |
| 09/12/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | CD Aguila | 106-74 | Santa Tecla |
| 07/12/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 68-92 | CD Aguila |
| 13/11/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | CD Aguila | 72-79 | Santa Tecla |
| 03/10/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 70-75 | CD Aguila |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1188 | 972 | 25 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1132 | 1052 | 23 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1018 | 941 | 22 |
| 4 | Salvadorenos | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1065 | 1050 | 20 |
| 5 | Cojutepeque | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1011 | 923 | 20 |
| 6 | CD Aguila | 13 | 6 | 7 | 1045 | 1015 | 19 |
| 7 | Santa Tecla | 13 | 6 | 7 | 982 | 1029 | 19 |
| 8 | San Salvador | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1131 | 1129 | 18 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 12 | 5 | 7 | 948 | 1109 | 17 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1051 | 1127 | 17 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 12 | 1 | 11 | 916 | 1140 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Aguila | Santa Tecla |
|---|---|---|
| San Salvador | 89-96 L | 76-66 W |
| A.Lobos BKB | 52-68 L | 70-65 W |
| Salvadorenos | 66-81 L | 83-78 W |
| Santiagueno | 126-106 W | 70-79 L |
| Cojutepeque | 64-66 L | 74-77 L |
| Isidro Metapan | 81-94 L | 70-94 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Aguila
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-96 | L |
| 11/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
52-68 | L |
| 08/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-81 | L |
| 04/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-76 | L |
| 03/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
126-106 | W |
| 27/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
64-66 | L |
| 25/09 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
79-69 | W |
| 20/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
65-73 | L |
| 18/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-81 | W |
| 15/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-94 | L |
Santa Tecla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-78 | W |
| 09/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-65 | W |
| 07/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-73 | W |
| 05/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-66 | W |
| 03/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-77 | L |
| 30/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-94 | L |
| 26/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
79-82 | L |
| 23/09 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-79 | L |
| 21/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-73 | W |
| 15/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-89 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs Santa Tecla?
Our model gives 62% to CD Aguila.
How many points are expected in CD Aguila vs Santa Tecla?
The model estimates 154.8 total points (CD Aguila 79.6 · Santa Tecla 75.3).