Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 22/10, 03:15
Prediction: Salvadorenos vs San Salvador
Team pages: Salvadorenos · San Salvador
Prediction summary
Estimated points
152.5Total
Salvadorenos78
San Salvador74.5
1X2
Salvadorenos
San Salvador
Recent form · 10 last
Salvadorenos
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
San Salvador
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Salvadorenos
2–4
San Salvador
(6 last)
- San Salvador83-97Salvadorenos
- Salvadorenos69-82San Salvador
- San Salvador59-71Salvadorenos
- San Salvador56-48Salvadorenos
- Salvadorenos58-68San Salvador
- San Salvador74-51Salvadorenos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salvadorenos 1512 · San Salvador 1513
| Salvadorenos | San Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
152.5 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points152.5Salvadorenos 78 · San Salvador 74.5
Match keys
- H2H favours San Salvador: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Salvadorenos | San Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 73.8 / 71 | 83.9 / 86.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.2 / 68.6 | 86.8 / 87 |
| Est. result | 78 | 75 |
Est. total152.5
Line O/U160.5
Diff.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Salvadorenos 2–0–4 San Salvador
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 83-97 | Salvadorenos |
| 06/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 69-82 | San Salvador |
| 01/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 59-71 | Salvadorenos |
| 17/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 56-48 | Salvadorenos |
| 15/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Salvadorenos | 58-68 | San Salvador |
| 13/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 74-51 | Salvadorenos |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 16 | 15 | 1 | 1514 | 1203 | 31 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 16 | 13 | 3 | 1385 | 1273 | 29 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1198 | 1106 | 27 |
| 4 | Cojutepeque | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1145 | 1052 | 23 |
| 5 | San Salvador | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1375 | 1401 | 23 |
| 6 | CD Aguila | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1206 | 1201 | 22 |
| 7 | Salvadorenos | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1140 | 1119 | 22 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1225 | 1302 | 22 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1077 | 1260 | 19 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1190 | 1277 | 19 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1072 | 1333 | 15 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Salvadorenos | San Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Santiagueno | 75-69 W | 94-74 W |
| Santa Tecla | 78-83 L | 99-95 W |
| Santa Ana BC | 60-66 L | 93-91 W |
| CD Aguila | 81-66 W | 96-89 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: San Salvador (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salvadorenos
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-69 | W |
| 14/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
72-59 | W |
| 12/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-83 | L |
| 10/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
60-66 | L |
| 08/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
81-66 | W |
| 01/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
69-71 | L |
| 29/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-72 | L |
| 28/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-74 | W |
| 26/09 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-79 | W |
| 24/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-71 | W |
San Salvador
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-110 | L |
| 17/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
99-95 | W |
| 15/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-67 | W |
| 13/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
96-89 | W |
| 10/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-74 | W |
| 08/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-91 | W |
| 05/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-76 | L |
| 01/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-100 | L |
| 27/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-88 | L |
| 25/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
69-79 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salvadorenos vs San Salvador?
Our model gives 60% to Salvadorenos.
How many points are expected in Salvadorenos vs San Salvador?
The model estimates 152.5 total points (Salvadorenos 78 · San Salvador 74.5).