Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 25/10, 02:00

Prediction: Santa Ana BC vs CD Aguila

Team pages: Santa Ana BC · CD Aguila

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162Total

Santa Ana BC88.9

CD Aguila73.1

1X2

87% 13%

Santa Ana BC CD Aguila

Recent form · 10 last

Santa Ana BC 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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CD Aguila 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Santa Ana BC 0–6 CD Aguila (6 last)

CD Aguila84-73Santa Ana BC
CD Aguila94-80Santa Ana BC
Santa Ana BC84-100CD Aguila
CD Aguila100-59Santa Ana BC
Santa Ana BC82-99CD Aguila
Santa Ana BC84-99CD Aguila

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Ana BC 1598 · CD Aguila 1459

	Santa Ana BC	CD Aguila
Our model	79%	21%
Market	89%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 162 points · Bet365 line 162.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points162Santa Ana BC 88.9 · CD Aguila 73.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Ana BC (rating 1598 vs 1459).
Santa Ana BC is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours CD Aguila: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Santa Ana BC	CD Aguila
Points F\|A (Last 10)	87.2 / 79	77 / 82.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.2 / 69.6	73.6 / 86.2
Est. result	89	73

Est. total162

Line O/U162.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.05

28.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-15.5)1.83

2 (+15.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 162.51.83

Under 162.51.83

Diff.: 0.15 · Est. total: 162.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.05 → 1.05	Bet365 1.05
2	8.25 → 8.25	Bet365 8.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	2
20:30 +17’	1.05	8.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:08 +40’	1.02	5.94
22:43 +3’	1.03▲	5.65▼
23:11 +35’	1.04▲	6.30▲
02:21 +24’	1.05▲	5.89▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Ana BC 0–0–6 CD Aguila

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	84-73	Santa Ana BC
16/10/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	94-80	Santa Ana BC
19/09/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	84-100	CD Aguila
01/05/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	100-59	Santa Ana BC
03/04/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	82-99	CD Aguila
25/10/21 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	84-99	CD Aguila

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	17	16	1	1600	1278	33
2	A.Lobos BKB	17	12	5	1297	1190	29
3	Santa Ana BC	16	13	3	1385	1273	29
4	Salvadorenos	17	8	9	1313	1294	25
5	San Salvador	17	8	9	1475	1494	25
6	Cojutepeque	16	9	7	1241	1113	25
7	Santa Tecla	17	6	11	1300	1388	23
8	CD Aguila	15	7	8	1206	1201	22
9	Santiagueno	15	5	10	1138	1356	20
10	Brujos Izalco	16	4	12	1265	1357	20
11	Ahuachapan	15	1	14	1156	1432	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santa Ana BC	CD Aguila
Santa Tecla	89-78 W	85-70 W
Santiagueno	76-60 W	126-106 W
Brujos Izalco	88-83 W	68-76 L
Cojutepeque	82-67 W	64-66 L
Salvadorenos	66-60 W	66-81 L
San Salvador	91-93 L	89-96 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Ana BC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Ana BC

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-78	W
18/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-60	W
16/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-83	W
12/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-67	W
10/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-60	W
08/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	91-93	L
29/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	72-68	W
28/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	115-96	W
26/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-82	W
23/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-103	W

CD Aguila

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-116	L
15/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	85-70	W
13/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-96	L
11/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	52-68	L
08/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-81	L
04/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-76	L
03/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	126-106	W
27/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	64-66	L
25/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	79-69	W
20/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-73	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Ana BC vs CD Aguila?

Our model gives 87% to Santa Ana BC.

How many points are expected in Santa Ana BC vs CD Aguila?

The model estimates 162 total points (Santa Ana BC 88.9 · CD Aguila 73.1).