Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 24/10, 03:15

Prediction: Salvadorenos vs Brujos Izalco

Team pages: Salvadorenos · Brujos Izalco

Prediction summary

Estimated points

157.8Total

Salvadorenos78.9

Brujos Izalco78.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Salvadorenos Brujos Izalco

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Salvadorenos 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLLWWL

Brujos Izalco 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWLLL

Head-to-head

Salvadorenos 3–3 Brujos Izalco (6 last)

Brujos Izalco76-69Salvadorenos
Brujos Izalco61-54Salvadorenos
Salvadorenos71-84Brujos Izalco
Salvadorenos92-61Brujos Izalco
Brujos Izalco56-70Salvadorenos
Brujos Izalco72-89Salvadorenos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salvadorenos 1477 · Brujos Izalco 1492

	Salvadorenos	Brujos Izalco
Our model	61%	39%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 157.8 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points157.8Salvadorenos 78.9 · Brujos Izalco 78.9

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Salvadorenos	Brujos Izalco
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.4 / 73.9	84.7 / 89.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.6 / 75.4	83.6 / 82.8
Est. result	79	79

Est. total157.8

Line O/U155.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.83

2 (+1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 6.15 · Est. total: 161.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
2	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 2.11 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 11.5%

Time*	1	2
15:44 +6’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:38 +11’	1.50	2.21
17:07 +41’	1.56▲	2.11▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salvadorenos 3–0–3 Brujos Izalco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	76-69	Salvadorenos
23/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	61-54	Salvadorenos
17/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	71-84	Brujos Izalco
15/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	92-61	Brujos Izalco
20/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	56-70	Salvadorenos
20/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	72-89	Salvadorenos

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	16	15	1	1514	1203	31
2	Santa Ana BC	16	13	3	1385	1273	29
3	A.Lobos BKB	16	11	5	1198	1106	27
4	Cojutepeque	16	9	7	1241	1113	25
5	San Salvador	17	8	9	1475	1494	25
6	Salvadorenos	16	7	9	1233	1219	23
7	CD Aguila	15	7	8	1206	1201	22
8	Santa Tecla	16	6	10	1225	1302	22
9	Santiagueno	15	5	10	1138	1356	20
10	Brujos Izalco	15	4	11	1190	1277	19
11	Ahuachapan	14	1	13	1072	1333	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salvadorenos	Brujos Izalco
Cojutepeque	72-59 W	76-75 W
Santa Ana BC	60-66 L	83-88 L
CD Aguila	81-66 W	76-68 W
Ahuachapan	76-74 W	123-107 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salvadorenos

WWLLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	93-100	L
16/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	75-69	W
14/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	72-59	W
12/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-83	L
10/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	60-66	L
08/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-66	W
01/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-71	L
29/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-72	L
28/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-74	W
26/09	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-79	W

Brujos Izalco

LLLLWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	56-62	L
16/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	83-88	L
13/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-82	L
11/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	123-107	W
09/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-75	W
04/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-68	W
30/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	86-92	L
28/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-115	L
25/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	90-120	L
22/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-84	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salvadorenos vs Brujos Izalco?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Salvadorenos 50% · Brujos Izalco 50%).

How many points are expected in Salvadorenos vs Brujos Izalco?

The model estimates 157.8 total points (Salvadorenos 78.9 · Brujos Izalco 78.9).