Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 23/10, 03:15
Prediction: Ahuachapan vs A.Lobos BKB
Team pages: Ahuachapan · A.Lobos BKB
Prediction summary
Estimated points
154.1Total
Ahuachapan70.6
A.Lobos BKB83.5
1X2
Ahuachapan
A.Lobos BKB
Recent form · 10 last
Ahuachapan
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
A.Lobos BKB
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ahuachapan
1–5
A.Lobos BKB
(6 last)
- A.Lobos BKB96-71Ahuachapan
- Ahuachapan90-81A.Lobos BKB
- A.Lobos BKB102-48Ahuachapan
- A.Lobos BKB94-79Ahuachapan
- Ahuachapan75-95A.Lobos BKB
- A.Lobos BKB90-79Ahuachapan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ahuachapan 1402 · A.Lobos BKB 1518
| Ahuachapan | A.Lobos BKB | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
154.1 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · -1.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points154.1Ahuachapan 70.6 · A.Lobos BKB 83.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours A.Lobos BKB (rating 1402 vs 1518).
- A.Lobos BKB is a clear favourite (82% market).
- H2H favours A.Lobos BKB: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ahuachapan | A.Lobos BKB | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.5 / 91.9 | 69.5 / 66.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.6 / 97.8 | 62.6 / 57.4 |
| Est. result | 71 | 84 |
Est. total154.1
Line O/U155.5
Diff.1.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ahuachapan 1–0–5 A.Lobos BKB
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | A.Lobos BKB | 96-71 | Ahuachapan |
| 03/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 90-81 | A.Lobos BKB |
| 29/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | A.Lobos BKB | 102-48 | Ahuachapan |
| 21/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | A.Lobos BKB | 94-79 | Ahuachapan |
| 25/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 75-95 | A.Lobos BKB |
| 14/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | A.Lobos BKB | 90-79 | Ahuachapan |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 16 | 15 | 1 | 1514 | 1203 | 31 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 16 | 13 | 3 | 1385 | 1273 | 29 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1198 | 1106 | 27 |
| 4 | Cojutepeque | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1241 | 1113 | 25 |
| 5 | San Salvador | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1475 | 1494 | 25 |
| 6 | Salvadorenos | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1233 | 1219 | 23 |
| 7 | CD Aguila | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1206 | 1201 | 22 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1225 | 1302 | 22 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1138 | 1356 | 20 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1190 | 1277 | 19 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 14 | 1 | 13 | 1072 | 1333 | 15 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ahuachapan | A.Lobos BKB |
|---|---|---|
| Cojutepeque | 78-93 L | 51-41 W |
| Isidro Metapan | 78-100 L | 61-77 L |
| Brujos Izalco | 107-123 L | 62-56 W |
| Santa Tecla | 73-82 L | 65-70 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: A.Lobos BKB (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ahuachapan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-93 | L |
| 15/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-100 | L |
| 11/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
107-123 | L |
| 07/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-82 | L |
| 05/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-91 | L |
| 30/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
92-86 | W |
| 28/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-76 | L |
| 26/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-88 | L |
| 24/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-96 | L |
| 21/09 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-84 | L |
A.Lobos BKB
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
62-56 | W |
| 17/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
51-41 | W |
| 15/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
67-68 | L |
| 11/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-52 | W |
| 09/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
65-70 | L |
| 07/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
61-77 | L |
| 29/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
53-62 | L |
| 27/09 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
88-83 | W |
| 24/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
96-71 | W |
| 22/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-81 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ahuachapan vs A.Lobos BKB?
Our model gives 82% to A.Lobos BKB.
How many points are expected in Ahuachapan vs A.Lobos BKB?
The model estimates 154.1 total points (Ahuachapan 70.6 · A.Lobos BKB 83.5).