Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 21/10, 03:15

Prediction: A.Lobos BKB vs Brujos Izalco

Team pages: A.Lobos BKB · Brujos Izalco

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.1Total

A.Lobos BKB83.8

Brujos Izalco77.3

1X2

68% 32%

A.Lobos BKB Brujos Izalco

Recent form · 10 last

A.Lobos BKB 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLWLW

Brujos Izalco 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWWLL

Head-to-head

A.Lobos BKB 6–0 Brujos Izalco (6 last)

Brujos Izalco81-84A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB104-72Brujos Izalco
Brujos Izalco81-103A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB94-70Brujos Izalco
A.Lobos BKB78-69Brujos Izalco
Brujos Izalco75-100A.Lobos BKB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · A.Lobos BKB 1564 · Brujos Izalco 1434

	A.Lobos BKB	Brujos Izalco
Our model	78%	22%
Market	65%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 161.1 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +5.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.1A.Lobos BKB 83.8 · Brujos Izalco 77.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours A.Lobos BKB (rating 1564 vs 1434).
A.Lobos BKB is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours A.Lobos BKB: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	A.Lobos BKB	Brujos Izalco
Points F\|A (Last 10)	70.6 / 67	86.7 / 90
Points F\|A (Last 5)	62.4 / 61.6	87.6 / 84
Est. result	84	77

Est. total161.1

Line O/U155.5

Diff.5.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.43

22.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.83

2 (+5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 157.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 23:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.43▲	Bet365 1.43
2	4.40 → 2.65▼	Pinn 3.76 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	2
13:42 +5’	1.18	4.40
19:21 +26’	1.31▲	3.20▼
23:40 +5’	1.43▲	2.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:02 +44’	1.09	4.35
15:13 +32’	1.06▼	4.88▲
17:39 +8’	1.08▲	4.46▼
18:36 +10’	1.11▲	4.04▼
22:17 +28’	1.13▲	4.25▲
00:18 +27’	1.17▲	3.76▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · A.Lobos BKB 6–0–0 Brujos Izalco

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	81-84	A.Lobos BKB
15/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	104-72	Brujos Izalco
13/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	81-103	A.Lobos BKB
11/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	94-70	Brujos Izalco
27/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	78-69	Brujos Izalco
25/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	75-100	A.Lobos BKB

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	15	14	1	1404	1126	29
2	Santa Ana BC	15	12	3	1296	1195	27
3	A.Lobos BKB	15	10	5	1136	1050	25
4	Cojutepeque	15	8	7	1145	1052	23
5	CD Aguila	15	7	8	1206	1201	22
6	Salvadorenos	15	7	8	1140	1119	22
7	San Salvador	15	7	8	1298	1291	22
8	Santa Tecla	15	6	9	1147	1213	21
9	Santiagueno	14	5	9	1077	1260	19
10	Brujos Izalco	14	4	10	1134	1215	18
11	Ahuachapan	14	1	13	1072	1333	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	A.Lobos BKB	Brujos Izalco
Cojutepeque	51-41 W	76-75 W
CD Aguila	68-52 W	76-68 W
Isidro Metapan	61-77 L	80-82 L
Ahuachapan	96-71 W	123-107 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: A.Lobos BKB (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

A.Lobos BKB

WWWWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	51-41	W
15/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-68	L
11/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-52	W
09/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-70	L
07/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	61-77	L
29/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	53-62	L
27/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-83	W
24/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-71	W
22/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	84-81	W
20/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	73-65	W

Brujos Izalco

WLLLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	83-88	L
13/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-82	L
11/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	123-107	W
09/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-75	W
04/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-68	W
30/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	86-92	L
28/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-115	L
25/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	90-120	L
22/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-84	L
20/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-69	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in A.Lobos BKB vs Brujos Izalco?

Our model gives 68% to A.Lobos BKB.

How many points are expected in A.Lobos BKB vs Brujos Izalco?

The model estimates 161.1 total points (A.Lobos BKB 83.8 · Brujos Izalco 77.3).