Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 15/10, 03:15

Prediction: San Salvador vs A.Lobos BKB

Team pages: San Salvador · A.Lobos BKB

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.4Total

San Salvador80.4

A.Lobos BKB81.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

48% 52%

San Salvador A.Lobos BKB

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

San Salvador 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWWW

A.Lobos BKB 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLLW

Head-to-head

San Salvador 1–5 A.Lobos BKB (6 last)

A.Lobos BKB88-83San Salvador
San Salvador84-89A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB97-81San Salvador
San Salvador89-107A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB74-51San Salvador
San Salvador94-66A.Lobos BKB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Salvador 1446 · A.Lobos BKB 1566

	San Salvador	A.Lobos BKB
Our model	46%	54%
Market	49%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 161.4 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · -2.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points161.4San Salvador 80.4 · A.Lobos BKB 81.1

Match keys

H2H favours A.Lobos BKB: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	San Salvador	A.Lobos BKB
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.6 / 87.9	79.3 / 72.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.6 / 86	67 / 68.8
Est. result	80	81

Est. total161.4

Line O/U163.5

Diff.2.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.87

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 163.51.83

Under 163.51.83

Diff.: 0.75 · Est. total: 162.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.87 → 1.87	Bet365 1.87
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	2
14:11 +35’	1.87	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:08 +38’	1.85	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Salvador 1–0–5 A.Lobos BKB

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	88-83	San Salvador
25/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	San Salvador	84-89	A.Lobos BKB
23/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	97-81	San Salvador
21/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	San Salvador	89-107	A.Lobos BKB
07/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	74-51	San Salvador
03/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	San Salvador	94-66	A.Lobos BKB

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	13	12	1	1188	972	25
2	Santa Ana BC	13	10	3	1132	1052	23
3	A.Lobos BKB	13	9	4	1018	941	22
4	Salvadorenos	14	6	8	1065	1050	20
5	Cojutepeque	13	7	6	1011	923	20
6	CD Aguila	13	6	7	1045	1015	19
7	Santa Tecla	13	6	7	982	1029	19
8	San Salvador	13	5	8	1131	1129	18
9	Santiagueno	12	5	7	948	1109	17
10	Brujos Izalco	13	4	9	1051	1127	17
11	Ahuachapan	12	1	11	916	1140	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Salvador	A.Lobos BKB
CD Aguila	96-89 W	68-52 W
Santiagueno	94-74 W	114-84 W
Santa Ana BC	93-91 W	91-82 W
Santa Tecla	66-76 L	65-70 L
Isidro Metapan	94-100 L	61-77 L
Cojutepeque	104-109 L	53-62 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: A.Lobos BKB (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Salvador

LLLLLLLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-89	W
10/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-74	W
08/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	93-91	W
05/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-76	L
01/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-100	L
27/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	83-88	L
25/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-79	L
23/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	103-105	L
19/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	104-109	L
16/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	54-68	L

A.Lobos BKB

WWWWWWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-52	W
09/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-70	L
07/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	61-77	L
29/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	53-62	L
27/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-83	W
24/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-71	W
22/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	84-81	W
20/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	73-65	W
17/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	91-82	W
14/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	114-84	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Salvador vs A.Lobos BKB?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (San Salvador 48% · A.Lobos BKB 52%).

How many points are expected in San Salvador vs A.Lobos BKB?

The model estimates 161.4 total points (San Salvador 80.4 · A.Lobos BKB 81.1).