Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 10/10, 03:15

Prediction: Salvadorenos vs Santa Ana BC

Team pages: Salvadorenos · Santa Ana BC

Prediction summary

Estimated points

160.8Total

Salvadorenos80.6

Santa Ana BC80.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Salvadorenos Santa Ana BC

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Salvadorenos 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWWLLW

Santa Ana BC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Salvadorenos 2–4 Santa Ana BC (6 last)

Santa Ana BC72-68Salvadorenos
Santa Ana BC71-84Salvadorenos
Salvadorenos104-56Santa Ana BC
Santa Ana BC74-56Salvadorenos
Salvadorenos76-80Santa Ana BC
Santa Ana BC99-62Salvadorenos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salvadorenos 1502 · Santa Ana BC 1543

	Salvadorenos	Santa Ana BC
Our model	57%	43%
Market	50%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 160.8 points · Bet365 line 161.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points160.8Salvadorenos 80.6 · Santa Ana BC 80.2

Match keys

H2H favours Santa Ana BC: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Salvadorenos	Santa Ana BC
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.8 / 75.9	91.1 / 84.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.2 / 72.4	94.2 / 88.4
Est. result	81	80

Est. total160.8

Line O/U161.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.83

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.74

Line ⓘ

Over 161.51.83

Under 161.51.83

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 163.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.95 ★
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	2
22:03 +12’	1.83	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
21:07 +14’	2.05	1.60
21:29 +46’	2.06▲	1.59▼
23:46	1.95▼	1.72▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salvadorenos 2–0–4 Santa Ana BC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	72-68	Salvadorenos
10/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	71-84	Salvadorenos
02/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	104-56	Santa Ana BC
18/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	74-56	Salvadorenos
24/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	76-80	Santa Ana BC
13/06/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	99-62	Salvadorenos

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	11	10	1	1017	844	21
2	A.Lobos BKB	12	8	4	950	889	20
3	Santa Ana BC	11	8	3	984	925	19
4	Cojutepeque	11	7	4	885	769	18
5	CD Aguila	11	6	5	904	851	17
6	Santa Tecla	12	5	7	899	951	17
7	Salvadorenos	11	5	6	855	842	16
8	Santiagueno	10	5	5	826	926	15
9	San Salvador	11	3	8	941	966	14
10	Brujos Izalco	11	3	8	848	938	14
11	Ahuachapan	11	1	10	809	1017	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salvadorenos	Santa Ana BC
Santiagueno	69-71 L	95-73 W
Ahuachapan	76-74 W	88-82 W
Santa Tecla	82-79 W	89-68 W
Cojutepeque	77-71 W	84-78 W
Brujos Izalco	69-76 L	115-96 W
A.Lobos BKB	78-80 L	82-91 L
Isidro Metapan	77-83 L	90-89 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Ana BC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salvadorenos

LLLLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-66	W
01/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-71	L
29/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-72	L
28/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-74	W
26/09	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-79	W
24/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-71	W
20/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-76	L
18/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-87	L
12/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-80	L
10/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-83	L

Santa Ana BC

WWWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	91-93	L
29/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	72-68	W
28/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	115-96	W
26/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-82	W
23/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-103	W
20/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	95-73	W
17/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-91	L
15/09	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-68	W
13/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	84-78	W
08/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	90-89	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salvadorenos vs Santa Ana BC?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Salvadorenos 51% · Santa Ana BC 49%).

How many points are expected in Salvadorenos vs Santa Ana BC?

The model estimates 160.8 total points (Salvadorenos 80.6 · Santa Ana BC 80.2).