Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 17/10, 03:15

Prediction: A.Lobos BKB vs Cojutepeque

Team pages: A.Lobos BKB · Cojutepeque

Prediction summary

Estimated points

147.6Total

A.Lobos BKB74.9

Cojutepeque72.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

A.Lobos BKB Cojutepeque

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

A.Lobos BKB 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Cojutepeque 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

A.Lobos BKB 4–2 Cojutepeque (6 last)

Cojutepeque62-53A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB85-71Cojutepeque
Cojutepeque62-81A.Lobos BKB
Cojutepeque79-76A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB86-59Cojutepeque
Cojutepeque58-84A.Lobos BKB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · A.Lobos BKB 1530 · Cojutepeque 1468

	A.Lobos BKB	Cojutepeque
Our model	71%	29%
Market	53%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 147.6 points · Bet365 line 142.5 · +5.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points147.6A.Lobos BKB 74.9 · Cojutepeque 72.8

Match keys

H2H favours A.Lobos BKB: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	A.Lobos BKB	Cojutepeque
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.6 / 71.1	69.9 / 71.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	62.8 / 65.8	68 / 71.4
Est. result	75	73

Est. total147.6

Line O/U142.5

Diff.5.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.74

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.80

2 (+7.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 142.51.83

Under 142.51.83

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 143.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 4.06 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 14.9%

Time*	1	2
16:48 +3’	1.74	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:39 +12’	1.27	2.88
18:45 +6’	1.11▼	4.06▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · A.Lobos BKB 4–0–2 Cojutepeque

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	62-53	A.Lobos BKB
18/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	85-71	Cojutepeque
13/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	62-81	A.Lobos BKB
18/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	79-76	A.Lobos BKB
22/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	86-59	Cojutepeque
12/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	58-84	A.Lobos BKB

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	14	13	1	1288	1050	27
2	Santa Ana BC	14	11	3	1220	1135	25
3	A.Lobos BKB	14	9	5	1085	1009	23
4	Salvadorenos	15	7	8	1140	1119	22
5	CD Aguila	14	7	7	1130	1085	21
6	Cojutepeque	13	7	6	1011	923	20
7	Santa Tecla	14	6	8	1052	1114	20
8	San Salvador	14	6	8	1199	1196	20
9	Santiagueno	13	5	8	1017	1184	18
10	Brujos Izalco	14	4	10	1134	1215	18
11	Ahuachapan	13	1	12	994	1240	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	A.Lobos BKB	Cojutepeque
San Salvador	67-68 L	109-104 W
CD Aguila	68-52 W	66-64 W
Santa Tecla	65-70 L	77-74 W
Isidro Metapan	61-77 L	60-67 L
Brujos Izalco	84-81 W	75-76 L
Santa Ana BC	91-82 W	67-82 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

A.Lobos BKB

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-68	L
11/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-52	W
09/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-70	L
07/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	61-77	L
29/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	53-62	L
27/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-83	W
24/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-71	W
22/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	84-81	W
20/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	73-65	W
17/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	91-82	W

Cojutepeque

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	59-72	L
12/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-82	L
09/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	75-76	L
03/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-74	W
29/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	62-53	W
27/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-64	W
24/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	71-77	L
21/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	60-67	L
19/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	109-104	W
16/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	53-50	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in A.Lobos BKB vs Cojutepeque?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (A.Lobos BKB 56% · Cojutepeque 44%).

How many points are expected in A.Lobos BKB vs Cojutepeque?

The model estimates 147.6 total points (A.Lobos BKB 74.9 · Cojutepeque 72.8).