Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 18/10, 03:00

Prediction: Santiagueno vs Santa Ana BC

Team pages: Santiagueno · Santa Ana BC

Prediction summary

Estimated points

166.7Total

Santiagueno77.5

Santa Ana BC89.2

1X2

20% 80%

Santiagueno Santa Ana BC

Recent form · 10 last

Santiagueno 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Santa Ana BC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Santiagueno 2–4 Santa Ana BC (6 last)

Santa Ana BC95-73Santiagueno
Santiagueno78-71Santa Ana BC
Santa Ana BC76-74Santiagueno
Santa Ana BC125-72Santiagueno
Santiagueno78-84Santa Ana BC
Santiagueno73-45Santa Ana BC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiagueno 1454 · Santa Ana BC 1582

	Santiagueno	Santa Ana BC
Our model	45%	55%
Market	14%	86%

Estimated total (ours) 166.7 points · Bet365 line 168.5 · -1.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points166.7Santiagueno 77.5 · Santa Ana BC 89.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santa Ana BC (rating 1454 vs 1582).
Santa Ana BC is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Santa Ana BC: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Santiagueno	Santa Ana BC
Points F\|A (Last 10)	76.7 / 86.4	88.4 / 81.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.6 / 94.2	79.8 / 74.2
Est. result	78	89

Est. total166.7

Line O/U168.5

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+13.5)1.83

2 (-13.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 168.51.83

Under 168.51.83

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 166.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.3%

Time*	1	2
16:54 +9’	6.50	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiagueno 2–0–4 Santa Ana BC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	95-73	Santiagueno
07/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santiagueno	78-71	Santa Ana BC
26/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	76-74	Santiagueno
26/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santa Ana BC	125-72	Santiagueno
12/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santiagueno	78-84	Santa Ana BC
19/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Santiagueno	73-45	Santa Ana BC

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	14	13	1	1288	1050	27
2	Santa Ana BC	14	11	3	1220	1135	25
3	A.Lobos BKB	14	9	5	1085	1009	23
4	Salvadorenos	15	7	8	1140	1119	22
5	CD Aguila	14	7	7	1130	1085	21
6	Cojutepeque	13	7	6	1011	923	20
7	Santa Tecla	14	6	8	1052	1114	20
8	San Salvador	14	6	8	1199	1196	20
9	Santiagueno	13	5	8	1017	1184	18
10	Brujos Izalco	14	4	10	1134	1215	18
11	Ahuachapan	13	1	12	994	1240	14

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santiagueno	Santa Ana BC
Salvadorenos	69-75 L	66-60 W
San Salvador	74-94 L	91-93 L
Ahuachapan	91-87 W	88-82 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Ana BC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiagueno

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-75	L
11/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	48-89	L
10/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	74-94	L
05/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	91-87	W
03/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	106-126	L
01/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	71-69	W
27/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-105	L
23/09	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	79-70	W
20/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	73-95	L
16/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-54	W

Santa Ana BC

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-83	W
12/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-67	W
10/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-60	W
08/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	91-93	L
29/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	72-68	W
28/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	115-96	W
26/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-82	W
23/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-103	W
20/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	95-73	W
17/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-91	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiagueno vs Santa Ana BC?

Our model gives 80% to Santa Ana BC.

How many points are expected in Santiagueno vs Santa Ana BC?

The model estimates 166.7 total points (Santiagueno 77.5 · Santa Ana BC 89.2).