Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 17/10, 03:15
Prediction: San Salvador vs Santa Tecla
Team pages: San Salvador · Santa Tecla
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.8Total
San Salvador85.3
Santa Tecla79.5
1X2
San Salvador
Santa Tecla
Recent form · 10 last
San Salvador
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Santa Tecla
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Salvador
5–1
Santa Tecla
(6 last)
- Santa Tecla76-66San Salvador
- Santa Tecla82-109San Salvador
- San Salvador91-48Santa Tecla
- Santa Tecla84-98San Salvador
- San Salvador86-60Santa Tecla
- San Salvador95-74Santa Tecla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Salvador 1517 · Santa Tecla 1469
| San Salvador | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.8 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +6.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.8San Salvador 85.3 · Santa Tecla 79.5
Match keys
- San Salvador is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours San Salvador: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| San Salvador | Santa Tecla | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87 / 87.8 | 75.8 / 77.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83.4 / 79.4 | 76.2 / 73.4 |
| Est. result | 85 | 80 |
Est. total164.8
Line O/U158.5
Diff.6.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Salvador 5–0–1 Santa Tecla
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 76-66 | San Salvador |
| 26/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 82-109 | San Salvador |
| 21/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 91-48 | Santa Tecla |
| 26/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Santa Tecla | 84-98 | San Salvador |
| 27/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 86-60 | Santa Tecla |
| 09/06/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | San Salvador | 95-74 | Santa Tecla |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1288 | 1050 | 27 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1220 | 1135 | 25 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1085 | 1009 | 23 |
| 4 | Salvadorenos | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1140 | 1119 | 22 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1130 | 1085 | 21 |
| 6 | Cojutepeque | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1011 | 923 | 20 |
| 7 | Santa Tecla | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1052 | 1114 | 20 |
| 8 | San Salvador | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1199 | 1196 | 20 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1017 | 1184 | 18 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1134 | 1215 | 18 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 13 | 1 | 12 | 994 | 1240 | 14 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Salvador | Santa Tecla |
|---|---|---|
| A.Lobos BKB | 68-67 W | 70-65 W |
| CD Aguila | 96-89 W | 70-85 L |
| Santiagueno | 94-74 W | 70-79 L |
| Isidro Metapan | 94-100 L | 70-94 L |
| Cojutepeque | 104-109 L | 74-77 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: San Salvador (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Salvador
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-67 | W |
| 13/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
96-89 | W |
| 10/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-74 | W |
| 08/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
93-91 | W |
| 05/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-76 | L |
| 01/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-100 | L |
| 27/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-88 | L |
| 25/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
69-79 | L |
| 23/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
103-105 | L |
| 19/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
104-109 | L |
Santa Tecla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-85 | L |
| 12/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
83-78 | W |
| 09/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-65 | W |
| 07/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-73 | W |
| 05/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-66 | W |
| 03/10 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-77 | L |
| 30/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-94 | L |
| 26/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
79-82 | L |
| 23/09 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
70-79 | L |
| 21/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
84-73 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Salvador vs Santa Tecla?
Our model gives 66% to San Salvador.
How many points are expected in San Salvador vs Santa Tecla?
The model estimates 164.8 total points (San Salvador 85.3 · Santa Tecla 79.5).