Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 18/10, 01:00
Prediction: Isidro Metapan vs CD Aguila
Team pages: Isidro Metapan · CD Aguila
Prediction summary
Estimated points
164.6Total
Isidro Metapan90.5
CD Aguila74.1
1X2
Isidro Metapan
CD Aguila
Recent form · 10 last
Isidro Metapan
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
CD Aguila
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Isidro Metapan
4–2
CD Aguila
(6 last)
- CD Aguila81-94Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan74-80CD Aguila
- CD Aguila76-79Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan73-79CD Aguila
- CD Aguila66-75Isidro Metapan
- Isidro Metapan100-91CD Aguila
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Isidro Metapan 1630 · CD Aguila 1463
| Isidro Metapan | CD Aguila | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 19% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
164.6 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points164.6Isidro Metapan 90.5 · CD Aguila 74.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isidro Metapan (rating 1630 vs 1463).
- Isidro Metapan is a clear favourite (88% market).
- H2H favours Isidro Metapan: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Isidro Metapan | CD Aguila | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 94.2 / 74.5 | 78.1 / 78.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89.6 / 72.2 | 72 / 78.2 |
| Est. result | 91 | 74 |
Est. total164.6
Line O/U165.5
Diff.0.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Isidro Metapan 4–0–2 CD Aguila
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | CD Aguila | 81-94 | Isidro Metapan |
| 23/10/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 74-80 | CD Aguila |
| 18/09/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | CD Aguila | 76-79 | Isidro Metapan |
| 15/04/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 73-79 | CD Aguila |
| 20/03/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor | CD Aguila | 66-75 | Isidro Metapan |
| 06/10/19 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Isidro Metapan | 100-91 | CD Aguila |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 14 | 13 | 1 | 1288 | 1050 | 27 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1220 | 1135 | 25 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1085 | 1009 | 23 |
| 4 | Salvadorenos | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1140 | 1119 | 22 |
| 5 | CD Aguila | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1130 | 1085 | 21 |
| 6 | Cojutepeque | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1011 | 923 | 20 |
| 7 | Santa Tecla | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1052 | 1114 | 20 |
| 8 | San Salvador | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1199 | 1196 | 20 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1017 | 1184 | 18 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1134 | 1215 | 18 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 13 | 1 | 12 | 994 | 1240 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Isidro Metapan | CD Aguila |
|---|---|---|
| Brujos Izalco | 82-80 W | 68-76 L |
| Santiagueno | 89-48 W | 126-106 W |
| A.Lobos BKB | 77-61 W | 52-68 L |
| San Salvador | 100-94 W | 89-96 L |
| Santa Tecla | 94-70 W | 85-70 W |
| Cojutepeque | 67-60 W | 64-66 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Isidro Metapan (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Isidro Metapan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
100-78 | W |
| 13/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-80 | W |
| 11/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-48 | W |
| 07/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-61 | W |
| 01/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
100-94 | W |
| 30/09 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
94-70 | W |
| 27/09 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
105-88 | W |
| 25/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
120-90 | W |
| 21/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
67-60 | W |
| 18/09 | Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
108-76 | W |
CD Aguila
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
85-70 | W |
| 13/10 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
89-96 | L |
| 11/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
52-68 | L |
| 08/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-81 | L |
| 04/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
68-76 | L |
| 03/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
126-106 | W |
| 27/09 | Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor |
64-66 | L |
| 25/09 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
79-69 | W |
| 20/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
65-73 | L |
| 18/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-81 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Isidro Metapan vs CD Aguila?
Our model gives 88% to Isidro Metapan.
How many points are expected in Isidro Metapan vs CD Aguila?
The model estimates 164.6 total points (Isidro Metapan 90.5 · CD Aguila 74.1).