Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 19/10, 02:00
Prediction: Ahuachapan vs Cojutepeque
Team pages: Ahuachapan · Cojutepeque
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.3Total
Ahuachapan75.7
Cojutepeque84.7
1X2
Ahuachapan
Cojutepeque
Recent form · 10 last
Ahuachapan
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Cojutepeque
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ahuachapan
2–4
Cojutepeque
(6 last)
- Cojutepeque102-39Ahuachapan
- Ahuachapan76-78Cojutepeque
- Cojutepeque86-78Ahuachapan
- Cojutepeque118-99Ahuachapan
- Ahuachapan81-76Cojutepeque
- Ahuachapan91-89Cojutepeque
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ahuachapan 1379 · Cojutepeque 1492
| Ahuachapan | Cojutepeque | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.3 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +5.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.3Ahuachapan 75.7 · Cojutepeque 84.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cojutepeque (rating 1379 vs 1492).
- Cojutepeque is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours Cojutepeque: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ahuachapan | Cojutepeque | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.3 / 93.4 | 68.7 / 72 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 87.4 / 96.4 | 63.8 / 71 |
| Est. result | 76 | 85 |
Est. total160.3
Line O/U154.5
Diff.5.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ahuachapan 2–0–4 Cojutepeque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 102-39 | Ahuachapan |
| 01/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 76-78 | Cojutepeque |
| 26/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 86-78 | Ahuachapan |
| 09/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Cojutepeque | 118-99 | Ahuachapan |
| 09/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 81-76 | Cojutepeque |
| 04/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor | Ahuachapan | 91-89 | Cojutepeque |
Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isidro Metapan | 15 | 14 | 1 | 1404 | 1126 | 29 |
| 2 | Santa Ana BC | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1296 | 1195 | 27 |
| 3 | A.Lobos BKB | 15 | 10 | 5 | 1136 | 1050 | 25 |
| 4 | CD Aguila | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1206 | 1201 | 22 |
| 5 | Salvadorenos | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1140 | 1119 | 22 |
| 6 | San Salvador | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1298 | 1291 | 22 |
| 7 | Cojutepeque | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1052 | 974 | 21 |
| 8 | Santa Tecla | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1147 | 1213 | 21 |
| 9 | Santiagueno | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1077 | 1260 | 19 |
| 10 | Brujos Izalco | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1134 | 1215 | 18 |
| 11 | Ahuachapan | 13 | 1 | 12 | 994 | 1240 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ahuachapan | Cojutepeque |
|---|---|---|
| Isidro Metapan | 78-100 L | 60-67 L |
| Brujos Izalco | 107-123 L | 75-76 L |
| Santa Tecla | 73-82 L | 77-74 W |
| Salvadorenos | 74-76 L | 59-72 L |
| Santa Ana BC | 82-88 L | 67-82 L |
| A.Lobos BKB | 71-96 L | 41-51 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Cojutepeque (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ahuachapan
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
78-100 | L |
| 11/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
107-123 | L |
| 07/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-82 | L |
| 05/10 | Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor |
87-91 | L |
| 30/09 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
92-86 | W |
| 28/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
74-76 | L |
| 26/09 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
82-88 | L |
| 24/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-96 | L |
| 21/09 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
73-84 | L |
| 18/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
76-108 | L |
Cojutepeque
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
41-51 | L |
| 14/10 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
59-72 | L |
| 12/10 | Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor |
67-82 | L |
| 09/10 | Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor |
75-76 | L |
| 03/10 | Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor |
77-74 | W |
| 29/09 | A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor |
62-53 | W |
| 27/09 | CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor |
66-64 | W |
| 24/09 | Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor |
71-77 | L |
| 21/09 | Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor |
60-67 | L |
| 19/09 | San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor |
109-104 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ahuachapan vs Cojutepeque?
Our model gives 74% to Cojutepeque.
How many points are expected in Ahuachapan vs Cojutepeque?
The model estimates 160.3 total points (Ahuachapan 75.7 · Cojutepeque 84.7).