Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 11/10, 03:00

Prediction: A.Lobos BKB vs CD Aguila

Team pages: A.Lobos BKB · CD Aguila

Prediction summary

Estimated points

157.5Total

A.Lobos BKB82.4

CD Aguila75.1

1X2

70% 30%

A.Lobos BKB CD Aguila

Recent form · 10 last

A.Lobos BKB 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLLL

CD Aguila 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWLL

Head-to-head

A.Lobos BKB 1–5 CD Aguila (6 last)

CD Aguila65-73A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB98-193CD Aguila
CD Aguila100-67A.Lobos BKB
A.Lobos BKB70-103CD Aguila
CD Aguila131-89A.Lobos BKB
CD Aguila79-67A.Lobos BKB

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · A.Lobos BKB 1533 · CD Aguila 1494

	A.Lobos BKB	CD Aguila
Our model	68%	32%
Market	71%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 157.5 points · Bet365 line 154.5 · +3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points157.5A.Lobos BKB 82.4 · CD Aguila 75.1

Match keys

A.Lobos BKB is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours CD Aguila: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	A.Lobos BKB	CD Aguila
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.5 / 75.3	82 / 77.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	72.6 / 72.6	80.6 / 79.6
Est. result	82	75

Est. total157.5

Line O/U154.5

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.31

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.83

2 (+7.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 154.51.83

Under 154.51.83

Diff.: 3.3 · Est. total: 157.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.31 → 1.31	Bet365 1.31
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.24 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 13.9%

Time*	1	2
20:49 +7’	1.31	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
21:00 +51’	1.20	3.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · A.Lobos BKB 1–0–5 CD Aguila

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	65-73	A.Lobos BKB
14/11/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	98-193	CD Aguila
02/10/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	100-67	A.Lobos BKB
08/05/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	A.Lobos BKB	70-103	CD Aguila
04/04/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	131-89	A.Lobos BKB
31/10/21 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	79-67	A.Lobos BKB

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isidro Metapan	11	10	1	1017	844	21
2	A.Lobos BKB	12	8	4	950	889	20
3	Santa Ana BC	11	8	3	984	925	19
4	Cojutepeque	11	7	4	885	769	18
5	CD Aguila	11	6	5	904	851	17
6	Santa Tecla	12	5	7	899	951	17
7	Salvadorenos	11	5	6	855	842	16
8	Santiagueno	10	5	5	826	926	15
9	San Salvador	11	3	8	941	966	14
10	Brujos Izalco	11	3	8	848	938	14
11	Ahuachapan	11	1	10	809	1017	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	A.Lobos BKB	CD Aguila
Santa Tecla	65-70 L	89-76 W
Isidro Metapan	61-77 L	81-94 L
Cojutepeque	53-62 L	64-66 L
San Salvador	88-83 W	79-69 W
Ahuachapan	96-71 W	95-56 W
Brujos Izalco	84-81 W	68-76 L
Santiagueno	114-84 W	126-106 W
Salvadorenos	80-78 W	66-81 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CD Aguila (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

A.Lobos BKB

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-70	L
07/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	61-77	L
29/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	53-62	L
27/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	88-83	W
24/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-71	W
22/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	84-81	W
20/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	73-65	W
17/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	91-82	W
14/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	114-84	W
12/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	80-78	W

CD Aguila

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-81	L
04/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-76	L
03/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	126-106	W
27/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	64-66	L
25/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	79-69	W
20/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-73	L
18/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	87-81	W
15/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-94	L
13/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	95-56	W
10/09	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-76	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in A.Lobos BKB vs CD Aguila?

Our model gives 70% to A.Lobos BKB.

How many points are expected in A.Lobos BKB vs CD Aguila?

The model estimates 157.5 total points (A.Lobos BKB 82.4 · CD Aguila 75.1).