Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 13/10, 03:15

Prediction: Brujos Izalco vs Isidro Metapan

Team pages: Brujos Izalco · Isidro Metapan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.6Total

Brujos Izalco81.5

Isidro Metapan90.1

1X2

27% 73%

Brujos Izalco Isidro Metapan

Recent form · 10 last

Brujos Izalco 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWWW

Isidro Metapan 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Brujos Izalco 0–6 Isidro Metapan (6 last)

Isidro Metapan120-90Brujos Izalco
Brujos Izalco84-92Isidro Metapan
Isidro Metapan91-73Brujos Izalco
Brujos Izalco82-107Isidro Metapan
Isidro Metapan107-47Brujos Izalco
Isidro Metapan114-81Brujos Izalco

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brujos Izalco 1455 · Isidro Metapan 1650

	Brujos Izalco	Isidro Metapan
Our model	35%	65%
Market	25%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 171.6 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +4.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points171.6Brujos Izalco 81.5 · Isidro Metapan 90.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isidro Metapan (rating 1455 vs 1650).
Isidro Metapan is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Isidro Metapan: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Brujos Izalco	Isidro Metapan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.1 / 86.6	93.7 / 74.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.4 / 91.4	93 / 72.2
Est. result	82	90

Est. total171.6

Line O/U167.5

Diff.4.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.75

21.24

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+8.5)1.87

2 (-8.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 167.51.83

Under 167.51.83

Diff.: 0.95 · Est. total: 168.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.75▲	Pinn 3.77 ★
2	1.31 → 1.24▼	Bet365 1.24

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 14.7%

Time*	1	2
16:38 +8’	3.20	1.31
18:22 +23’	3.75▲	1.24▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:15 +31’	3.25	1.20
17:38 +8’	3.79▲	1.13▼
18:39 +7’	3.77▼	1.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brujos Izalco 0–0–6 Isidro Metapan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	120-90	Brujos Izalco
04/06/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	84-92	Isidro Metapan
30/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	91-73	Brujos Izalco
19/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Brujos Izalco	82-107	Isidro Metapan
17/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	107-47	Brujos Izalco
15/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Isidro Metapan	114-81	Brujos Izalco

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana BC	13	10	3	1132	1052	23
2	Isidro Metapan	12	11	1	1106	892	23
3	A.Lobos BKB	13	9	4	1018	941	22
4	Cojutepeque	12	7	5	952	851	19
5	Santa Tecla	13	6	7	982	1029	19
6	Salvadorenos	13	5	8	993	991	18
7	CD Aguila	12	6	6	956	919	18
8	Santiagueno	12	5	7	948	1109	17
9	San Salvador	12	4	8	1035	1040	16
10	Brujos Izalco	12	4	8	971	1045	16
11	Ahuachapan	12	1	11	916	1140	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brujos Izalco	Isidro Metapan
Ahuachapan	123-107 W	108-76 W
Cojutepeque	76-75 W	67-60 W
CD Aguila	76-68 W	94-81 W
A.Lobos BKB	81-84 L	77-61 W
Salvadorenos	76-69 W	83-77 W
San Salvador	67-83 L	100-94 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Isidro Metapan (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brujos Izalco

LLWLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	123-107	W
09/10	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-75	W
04/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-68	W
30/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	86-92	L
28/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	96-115	L
25/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	90-120	L
22/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-84	L
20/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-69	W
16/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	50-53	L
14/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-83	L

Isidro Metapan

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	89-48	W
07/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-61	W
01/10	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	100-94	W
30/09	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-70	W
27/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	105-88	W
25/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	120-90	W
21/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-60	W
18/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	108-76	W
15/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-81	W
10/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	83-77	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brujos Izalco vs Isidro Metapan?

Our model gives 73% to Isidro Metapan.

How many points are expected in Brujos Izalco vs Isidro Metapan?

The model estimates 171.6 total points (Brujos Izalco 81.5 · Isidro Metapan 90.1).