Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 13/10, 03:15

Prediction: CD Aguila vs San Salvador

Team pages: CD Aguila · San Salvador

Prediction summary

Estimated points

163.6Total

CD Aguila81.1

San Salvador82.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

CD Aguila San Salvador

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

CD Aguila 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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San Salvador 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CD Aguila 2–4 San Salvador (6 last)

San Salvador69-79CD Aguila
CD Aguila95-98San Salvador
San Salvador98-101CD Aguila
San Salvador86-77CD Aguila
CD Aguila62-67San Salvador
San Salvador92-82CD Aguila

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Aguila 1473 · San Salvador 1467

	CD Aguila	San Salvador
Our model	63%	37%
Market	41%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 163.6 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points163.6CD Aguila 81.1 · San Salvador 82.5

Match keys

H2H favours San Salvador: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CD Aguila	San Salvador
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.3 / 77	84.3 / 85.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.2 / 79.4	86 / 85.8
Est. result	81	83

Est. total163.6

Line O/U160.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.25

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.83

2 (-3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.83

Under 160.51.83

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 162.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	2
16:11 +35’	2.25	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:00 +45’	2.20	1.51
18:42 +3’	2.11▼	1.56▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Aguila 2–0–4 San Salvador

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	San Salvador	69-79	CD Aguila
18/10/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	95-98	San Salvador
27/09/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	San Salvador	98-101	CD Aguila
27/05/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	San Salvador	86-77	CD Aguila
25/05/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	CD Aguila	62-67	San Salvador
23/05/22 El Salvador Liga Mayor	San Salvador	92-82	CD Aguila

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana BC	13	10	3	1132	1052	23
2	Isidro Metapan	12	11	1	1106	892	23
3	A.Lobos BKB	13	9	4	1018	941	22
4	Cojutepeque	12	7	5	952	851	19
5	Santa Tecla	13	6	7	982	1029	19
6	Salvadorenos	13	5	8	993	991	18
7	CD Aguila	12	6	6	956	919	18
8	Santiagueno	12	5	7	948	1109	17
9	San Salvador	12	4	8	1035	1040	16
10	Brujos Izalco	12	4	8	971	1045	16
11	Ahuachapan	12	1	11	916	1140	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Aguila	San Salvador
A.Lobos BKB	52-68 L	83-88 L
Brujos Izalco	68-76 L	83-67 W
Santiagueno	126-106 W	94-74 W
Cojutepeque	64-66 L	104-109 L
Isidro Metapan	81-94 L	94-100 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: San Salvador (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Aguila

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	52-68	L
08/10	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-81	L
04/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-76	L
03/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	126-106	W
27/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	64-66	L
25/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	79-69	W
20/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	65-73	L
18/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	87-81	W
15/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-94	L
13/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	95-56	W

San Salvador

WLLLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-74	W
08/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	93-91	W
05/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-76	L
01/10	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	94-100	L
27/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	83-88	L
25/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-79	L
23/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	103-105	L
19/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	104-109	L
16/09	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	54-68	L
14/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	83-67	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Aguila vs San Salvador?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CD Aguila 46% · San Salvador 54%).

How many points are expected in CD Aguila vs San Salvador?

The model estimates 163.6 total points (CD Aguila 81.1 · San Salvador 82.5).