Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor · 14/10, 03:15

Prediction: Cojutepeque vs Salvadorenos

Team pages: Cojutepeque · Salvadorenos

Prediction summary

Estimated points

148.8Total

Cojutepeque77.1

Salvadorenos71.7

1X2

65% 35%

Cojutepeque Salvadorenos

Recent form · 10 last

Cojutepeque 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Salvadorenos 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cojutepeque 2–4 Salvadorenos (6 last)

Salvadorenos77-71Cojutepeque
Salvadorenos71-68Cojutepeque
Cojutepeque40-71Salvadorenos
Salvadorenos58-62Cojutepeque
Cojutepeque52-47Salvadorenos
Salvadorenos67-62Cojutepeque

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cojutepeque 1483 · Salvadorenos 1477

	Cojutepeque	Salvadorenos
Our model	63%	37%
Market	65%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 148.8 points · Bet365 line 146.5 · +2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points148.8Cojutepeque 77.1 · Salvadorenos 71.7

Match keys

Cojutepeque is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Salvadorenos: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Cojutepeque	Salvadorenos
Points F\|A (Last 10)	71.8 / 73.1	74.1 / 74.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	69.4 / 69.8	71.2 / 71.6
Est. result	77	72

Est. total148.8

Line O/U146.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.43

22.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.83

2 (+5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 146.51.83

Under 146.51.83

Diff.: 0.25 · Est. total: 146.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.43 → 1.43	Bet365 1.43
2	2.65 → 2.65	Pinn 2.78 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5% Pinnacle margin 13.1%

Time*	1	2
17:37 +10’	1.43	2.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
18:13 +33’	1.30	2.78

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cojutepeque 2–0–4 Salvadorenos

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/09/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	77-71	Cojutepeque
09/05/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	71-68	Cojutepeque
30/03/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	40-71	Salvadorenos
05/11/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	58-62	Cojutepeque
30/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Cojutepeque	52-47	Salvadorenos
31/05/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor	Salvadorenos	67-62	Cojutepeque

Standings · El Salvador Liga Mayor · LMB 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana BC	13	10	3	1132	1052	23
2	Isidro Metapan	12	11	1	1106	892	23
3	A.Lobos BKB	13	9	4	1018	941	22
4	Cojutepeque	12	7	5	952	851	19
5	Santa Tecla	13	6	7	982	1029	19
6	Salvadorenos	13	5	8	993	991	18
7	CD Aguila	12	6	6	956	919	18
8	Santiagueno	12	5	7	948	1109	17
9	San Salvador	12	4	8	1035	1040	16
10	Brujos Izalco	12	4	8	971	1045	16
11	Ahuachapan	12	1	11	916	1140	13

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cojutepeque	Salvadorenos
Santa Ana BC	67-82 L	60-66 L
Brujos Izalco	75-76 L	69-76 L
Santa Tecla	77-74 W	78-83 L
CD Aguila	66-64 W	81-66 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cojutepeque

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	67-82	L
09/10	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	75-76	L
03/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-74	W
29/09	A.Lobos BKB El Salvador Liga Mayor	62-53	W
27/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	66-64	W
24/09	Salvadorenos El Salvador Liga Mayor	71-77	L
21/09	Isidro Metapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	60-67	L
19/09	San Salvador El Salvador Liga Mayor	109-104	W
16/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	53-50	W
13/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-84	L

Salvadorenos

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/10	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	78-83	L
10/10	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	60-66	L
08/10	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-66	W
01/10	Santiagueno El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-71	L
29/09	Santa Ana BC El Salvador Liga Mayor	68-72	L
28/09	Ahuachapan El Salvador Liga Mayor	76-74	W
26/09	Santa Tecla El Salvador Liga Mayor	82-79	W
24/09	Cojutepeque El Salvador Liga Mayor	77-71	W
20/09	Brujos Izalco El Salvador Liga Mayor	69-76	L
18/09	CD Aguila El Salvador Liga Mayor	81-87	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cojutepeque vs Salvadorenos?

Our model gives 65% to Cojutepeque.

How many points are expected in Cojutepeque vs Salvadorenos?

The model estimates 148.8 total points (Cojutepeque 77.1 · Salvadorenos 71.7).