Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 14/10, 20:00
Prediction: Joventut vs BC Andorra
Team pages: Joventut · BC Andorra
Prediction summary
Estimated points
176.9Total
Joventut93.8
BC Andorra83
1X2
Joventut
BC Andorra
Recent form · 10 last
Joventut
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
BC Andorra
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Joventut
5–1
BC Andorra
(6 last)
- Joventut101-79BC Andorra
- BC Andorra76-83Joventut
- Joventut101-87BC Andorra
- BC Andorra86-99Joventut
- Joventut93-86BC Andorra
- Joventut69-88BC Andorra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joventut 1527 · BC Andorra 1410
| Joventut | BC Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 23% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
176.9 points · Bet365 line 177.5 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points176.9Joventut 93.8 · BC Andorra 83
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joventut (rating 1527 vs 1410).
- Joventut is a clear favourite (78% market).
- H2H favours Joventut: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Joventut | BC Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.6 / 89 | 91.1 / 92.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89 / 99.6 | 92.6 / 91 |
| Est. result | 94 | 83 |
Est. total176.9
Line O/U177.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joventut 5–0–1 BC Andorra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Spain Liga ACB | Joventut | 101-79 | BC Andorra |
| 23/11/25 Spain Liga ACB | BC Andorra | 76-83 | Joventut |
| 18/09/25 Club Friendlies | Joventut | 101-87 | BC Andorra |
| 05/04/25 Spain Liga ACB | BC Andorra | 86-99 | Joventut |
| 11/01/25 Spain Liga ACB | Joventut | 93-86 | BC Andorra |
| 30/08/24 Club Friendlies | Joventut | 69-88 | BC Andorra |
Standings · Spain Liga ACB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baskonia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 309 | 248 | 0 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 323 | 277 | 0 |
| 3 | Breogan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 326 | 291 | 0 |
| 4 | Bilbao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 304 | 283 | 0 |
| 5 | Tenerife | 3 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 233 | 0 |
| 6 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 1 | 302 | 287 | 0 |
| 7 | Zaragoza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 248 | 0 |
| 8 | Monbus Obradoiro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 288 | 288 | 0 |
| 9 | Valencia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 283 | 276 | 0 |
| 10 | San Pablo Burgos | 3 | 1 | 2 | 278 | 275 | 0 |
| 11 | Unicaja Malaga | 3 | 1 | 2 | 254 | 253 | 0 |
| 12 | Forca Lleida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 275 | 285 | 0 |
| 13 | UCAM Murcia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 254 | 268 | 0 |
| 14 | Coruna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 312 | 0 |
| 15 | Girona | 3 | 1 | 2 | 254 | 310 | 0 |
| 16 | BC Andorra | 2 | 0 | 2 | 169 | 182 | 0 |
| 17 | Joventut | 2 | 0 | 2 | 177 | 203 | 0 |
| 18 | Manresa | 3 | 0 | 3 | 270 | 328 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joventut
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
73-93 | L |
| 27/09 | Breogan Spain Liga ACB |
104-110 | L |
| 14/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
75-87 | L |
| 12/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
76-90 | L |
| 10/06 | Valencia Spain Liga ACB |
117-118 | L |
| 07/06 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
96-88 | W |
| 05/06 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
82-63 | W |
| 03/06 | Baskonia Spain Liga ACB |
71-85 | L |
| 29/05 | Girona Spain Liga ACB |
77-82 | L |
| 26/05 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
95-74 | W |
BC Andorra
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
84-92 | L |
| 26/09 | Monbus Obradoiro Spain Liga ACB |
85-90 | L |
| 29/05 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
95-100 | L |
| 24/05 | Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB |
116-88 | W |
| 17/05 | San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB |
83-85 | L |
| 14/05 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
79-101 | L |
| 10/05 | Manresa Spain Liga ACB |
104-94 | W |
| 02/05 | Tenerife Spain Liga ACB |
90-89 | W |
| 26/04 | Granada Spain Liga ACB |
86-89 | L |
| 18/04 | UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB |
89-95 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joventut vs BC Andorra?
Our model gives 78% to Joventut.
How many points are expected in Joventut vs BC Andorra?
The model estimates 176.9 total points (Joventut 93.8 · BC Andorra 83).