Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 18/10, 18:00
Prediction: Tenerife vs Baskonia
Team pages: Tenerife · Baskonia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
181.3Total
Tenerife92.4
Baskonia88.9
1X2
Tenerife
Baskonia
Recent form · 10 last
Tenerife
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Baskonia
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tenerife
4–2
Baskonia
(6 last)
- Baskonia91-81Tenerife
- Tenerife89-85Baskonia
- Baskonia89-79Tenerife
- Baskonia89-93Tenerife
- Tenerife88-80Baskonia
- Tenerife95-78Baskonia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tenerife 1478 · Baskonia 1509
| Tenerife | Baskonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
181.3 points · Bet365 line 177.5 · +3.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points181.3Tenerife 92.4 · Baskonia 88.9
Match keys
- H2H favours Tenerife: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Tenerife | Baskonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 85.2 / 91.2 | 93.3 / 83.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83 / 83 | 92 / 85.2 |
| Est. result | 92 | 89 |
Est. total181.3
Line O/U177.5
Diff.3.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tenerife 4–0–2 Baskonia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Spain Copa del Rey | Baskonia | 91-81 | Tenerife |
| 01/02/26 Spain Liga ACB | Tenerife | 89-85 | Baskonia |
| 02/11/25 Spain Liga ACB | Baskonia | 89-79 | Tenerife |
| 20/04/25 Spain Liga ACB | Baskonia | 89-93 | Tenerife |
| 29/09/24 Spain Liga ACB | Tenerife | 88-80 | Baskonia |
| 04/02/24 Spain Liga ACB | Tenerife | 95-78 | Baskonia |
Standings · Spain Liga ACB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baskonia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 309 | 248 | 0 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 323 | 277 | 0 |
| 3 | Breogan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 326 | 291 | 0 |
| 4 | Bilbao | 3 | 2 | 1 | 304 | 283 | 0 |
| 5 | Tenerife | 3 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 233 | 0 |
| 6 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 1 | 302 | 287 | 0 |
| 7 | Zaragoza | 3 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 248 | 0 |
| 8 | Monbus Obradoiro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 288 | 288 | 0 |
| 9 | Valencia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 283 | 276 | 0 |
| 10 | San Pablo Burgos | 3 | 1 | 2 | 278 | 275 | 0 |
| 11 | Unicaja Malaga | 3 | 1 | 2 | 254 | 253 | 0 |
| 12 | Forca Lleida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 275 | 285 | 0 |
| 13 | UCAM Murcia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 254 | 268 | 0 |
| 14 | Coruna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 312 | 0 |
| 15 | Girona | 3 | 1 | 2 | 254 | 310 | 0 |
| 16 | BC Andorra | 2 | 0 | 2 | 169 | 182 | 0 |
| 17 | Joventut | 2 | 0 | 2 | 177 | 203 | 0 |
| 18 | Manresa | 3 | 0 | 3 | 270 | 328 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tenerife | Baskonia |
|---|---|---|
| UCAM Murcia | 90-77 W | 87-80 W |
| Unicaja Malaga | 80-75 W | 92-89 W |
| Real Madrid | 107-95 W | 88-83 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Tenerife (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tenerife
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB |
90-77 | W |
| 03/10 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
80-75 | W |
| 27/09 | Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB |
80-81 | L |
| 13/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
76-85 | L |
| 11/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
89-97 | L |
| 09/06 | Barcelona Spain Liga ACB |
67-100 | L |
| 06/06 | Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB |
107-95 | W |
| 04/06 | Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB |
83-118 | L |
| 02/06 | Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB |
98-97 | W |
| 29/05 | Bilbao Spain Liga ACB |
82-87 | L |
Baskonia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
93-73 | W |
| 04/10 | Girona Spain Liga ACB |
118-78 | W |
| 27/09 | San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB |
98-97 | W |
| 07/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
88-96 | L |
| 05/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
63-82 | L |
| 03/06 | Joventut Spain Liga ACB |
85-71 | W |
| 29/05 | Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB |
92-89 | W |
| 27/05 | Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB |
88-83 | W |
| 17/05 | Granada Spain Liga ACB |
121-85 | W |
| 14/05 | UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB |
87-80 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tenerife vs Baskonia?
Our model gives 60% to Tenerife.
How many points are expected in Tenerife vs Baskonia?
The model estimates 181.3 total points (Tenerife 92.4 · Baskonia 88.9).